The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lowe, Brandon in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 418 PA

Ranked comps for Lowe, Brandon

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.76 Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactSprint speed Oppo rate +1.1zFly-ball rate +1.0zSwing length +0.9z
02 Neto, Zach LAA · R · 440 PA 0.76 Swing lengthPull rateWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.1zBat speed -0.8zHard-hit rate -0.8z
03 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.73 In-zone contactStrikeout rateGround-ball rate Fly-ball rate -1.6zSwing length +1.2zChase rate -0.7z
04 Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 310 PA 0.72 Walk rateChase rateWhiff rate Fly-ball rate -1.1zHard-hit rate +1.1zGround-ball rate +1.0z
05 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA 0.70 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSprint speed Chase rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.0z
06 Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA 0.67 Isolated powerIn-zone contactPull rate Swing length +1.9zMax exit velocity +1.1zBat speed +1.1z
07 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocitySwing length Pull rate -1.8zOppo rate +1.2zFly-ball rate +0.9z
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.66 Bat speedAvg exit velocityIsolated power Swing length +2.1zChase rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +0.9z
09 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 416 PA 0.64 Bat speedMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Chase rate -1.7zWalk rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1z
10 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA 0.62 Oppo rateMax exit velocityIsolated power Swing length +1.7zChase rate -1.5zSprint speed +1.3z
11 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthIsolated power Oppo rate +1.6zWhiff rate -1.4zMax exit velocity -1.0z
12 Benintendi, Andrew CWS · L · 307 PA 0.61 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.6zBat speed -1.1zMax exit velocity -1.0z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.