The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Muncy, Max in signal, the comp in amber.
LAD · bats L · 574 PA
Ranked comps for Muncy, Max
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 668 PA | 0.76 | Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Chase rate +1.4zWhiff rate +1.2zIn-zone contact -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA | 0.73 | Fly-ball rateOppo rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zPull rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 545 PA | 0.70 | Oppo rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate | Ground-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1zBarrel rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA | 0.69 | Fly-ball rateStrikeout rateChase rate | Swing length +1.9zPull rate -0.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Jensen, Carter KC · L · 617 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactWhiff rateChase rate | Oppo rate +1.6zPull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 643 PA | 0.66 | Max exit velocityBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length +2.4zIn-zone contact -0.8zWalk rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Seager, Corey TEX · L · 445 PA | 0.62 | xwOBA on contactBat speedStrikeout rate | Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.0zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 506 PA | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Swing length +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Mayo, Coby BAL · R · 468 PA | 0.61 | Barrel rateIsolated powerIn-zone contact | Bat speed +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.4zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.60 | Walk rateChase rateSprint speed | Whiff rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.7zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 517 PA | 0.59 | Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityGround-ball rate | Hard-hit rate +1.4zChase rate +1.3zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA | 0.58 | Avg exit velocityWalk rateHard-hit rate | Pull rate -1.9zBat speed +1.5zOppo rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.