The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bleday, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats L · 291 PA

Ranked comps for Bleday, JJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA 0.63 Whiff rateFly-ball rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zPull rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA 0.61 Max exit velocityWalk rateGround-ball rate Whiff rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.3zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.59 Pull rateBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Max exit velocity -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.57 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityChase rate Oppo rate +1.6zIsolated power -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA 0.56 Chase rateFly-ball rateBat speed Ground-ball rate +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityWhiff rateBarrel rate Chase rate +2.0zSprint speed +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.53 Oppo rateBat speedPull rate Chase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.5zWalk rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Harper, Bryce PHI · L · 416 PA 0.53 Max exit velocityStrikeout rateSprint speed Ground-ball rate +2.1zChase rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 393 PA 0.52 Bat speedPull rateIn-zone contact Strikeout rate +1.9zSwing length +1.3zMax exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA 0.52 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateStrikeout rate In-zone contact +1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.5zWhiff rate -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA 0.50 Oppo rateChase rateFly-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -2.0zGround-ball rate +1.5zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Lowe, Nathaniel CIN · L · 241 PA 0.48 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +2.2zSprint speed -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.