The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bleday, JJ in signal, the comp in amber.

CIN · bats L · 545 PA

Ranked comps for Bleday, JJ

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 721 PA 0.71 Bat speedMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Swing length +1.2zWhiff rate -1.1zBarrel rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.70 Oppo rateIn-zone contactFly-ball rate Ground-ball rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.1zBarrel rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.68 Isolated powerBat speedWalk rate Pull rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 628 PA 0.63 Bat speedIsolated powerPull rate Strikeout rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zSwing length +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.61 Oppo rateWalk rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 617 PA 0.58 Max exit velocityIn-zone contactBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.9zOppo rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 401 PA 0.58 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateWhiff rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zIsolated power -1.3zSprint speed -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.56 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateFly-ball rate xwOBA on contact +1.7zPull rate -1.4zOppo rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 506 PA 0.55 Barrel rateAvg exit velocityFly-ball rate Strikeout rate +2.0zSwing length +1.2zWhiff rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Happ, Ian CHC · L · 652 PA 0.55 Chase rateWalk rateBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -2.4zGround-ball rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.54 Avg exit velocityChase ratexwOBA on contact In-zone contact +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Larnach, Trevor MIN · L · 449 PA 0.54 Oppo rateWhiff rateSweet-spot rate Fly-ball rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.6zMax exit velocity -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.