Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Francisco Giants Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Francisco Giants

Drew Gilbert

CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 9", 195 lb · Age 25

Cards
2
Modules
2
Live Δ
yes
Club San Francisco Giants Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025109121931.190.248.350.598
2026216214540.237.318.374.692
2 Seasons325336471.221.294.366.660
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
20
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
31
Defense4 metrics
46
Speed2 metrics
41
Plate skills10 metrics
56
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.309
xwOBA current pace0.294
xwOBA rolling p500.302
Observed weight51%
xwOBA
0.267 0.284 0.302 0.320 0.336
wOBA
0.313 0.332 0.353 0.374 0.393
ISO
0.122 0.140 0.161 0.181 0.200
K%
12.6% 14.6% 16.7% 18.8% 20.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.3%
6 -29 vs proj
Exit velocity84.0
11
Hard-hit%31.7%
20 -23 vs proj
xBA0.306
31
xSLG0.415
17
xwOBA0.294
37
BB%9.0%
55
Bat speed66.8
18
K%16.7%
81
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · CF
42
Arm Strength93.5 · CF
55
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs-0.6 · CF
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · CF
33
Sprint Speed27.3 · CF
48
SB Success Rate0.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
54
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Gilbert, Drew · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.294 2026-07-06: 0.2922026-07-07: 0.2972026-07-08: 0.2972026-07-09: 0.2972026-07-10: 0.2962026-07-11: 0.2932026-07-12: 0.2922026-07-13: 0.2912026-07-14: 0.2942026-07-15: 0.2942026-07-16: 0.2942026-07-17: 0.294 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Gilbert, Drew · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 8% of plotted batted ballsPull 8%Center field third: 77% of plotted batted ballsCenter 77%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 339 CF 399 RF 309 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 29.02026-03-19 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 15.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 32.02026-03-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA -31.02026-03-19 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 33.02026-03-19 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 110.6 / LA 12.02026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.7 / LA -4.02026-03-20 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 11.02026-03-20 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 94.8 / LA 15.02026-03-20 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 91.2 / LA 24.02026-03-20 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 3.02026-03-21 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 57.4 / LA -2.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 45.3 / LA 37.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-04-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA -15.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -5.02026-04-17 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 29.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 5.02026-04-18 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA -11.02026-04-18 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 9.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 49.02026-04-18 · field out · ST · popup · EV 79.1 / LA 58.02026-04-19 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 2.02026-04-19 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA -19.02026-04-19 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA 10.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · popup · EV 63.7 / LA 43.02026-04-21 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 99.6 / LA 24.02026-04-22 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 42.5 / LA -74.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.4 / LA 72.02026-04-23 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -13.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 1.02026-04-24 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 7.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 83.1 / LA -7.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 21.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 96.4 / LA 20.02026-04-25 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 22.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.1 / LA 13.02026-04-26 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 80.2 / LA 16.02026-04-26 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA 4.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 80.8 / LA 78.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -12.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -17.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 71.5 / LA 48.02026-04-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.6 / LA -49.02026-04-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 25.02026-04-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 4.02026-04-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.1 / LA 6.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA 0.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 75.7 / LA 14.02026-05-02 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 68.9 / LA 11.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · popup · EV 81.0 / LA 66.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · popup · EV 67.4 / LA 82.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -39.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.1 / LA -3.02026-05-04 · field out · SI · popup · EV 51.6 / LA 46.02026-05-05 · single · CH · fly_ball · EV 67.0 / LA 29.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 43.1 / LA 6.02026-05-08 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 7.02026-05-08 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 71.8 / LA 53.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.1 / LA -19.02026-05-09 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 35.02026-05-09 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 8.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -13.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 16.7 / LA 60.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -3.02026-05-12 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 21.6 / LA 44.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -2.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 7.02026-05-13 · double play · ST · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 23.02026-05-14 · field out · FC · popup · EV 69.8 / LA 64.02026-05-16 · fielders choice out · FC · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -23.02026-05-16 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 12.02026-05-16 · triple · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 23.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · popup · EV 73.2 / LA 49.02026-05-17 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.7 / LA -3.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 41.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -31.02026-05-19 · field out · CU · popup · EV 76.8 / LA 68.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · popup · EV 80.4 / LA 72.02026-05-19 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 40.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 30.02026-05-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 11.02026-05-22 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 79.8 / LA 12.02026-05-22 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA -17.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -24.02026-05-23 · single · ST · popup · EV 62.0 / LA 50.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball2026-05-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.2 / LA 18.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · popup · EV 69.2 / LA 72.02026-05-24 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 4.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -2.02026-05-25 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.5 / LA -32.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.6 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 110.1 / LA 10.02026-05-26 · field out · ST · popup · EV 73.1 / LA 88.02026-05-27 · single · SV · ground_ball · EV 60.9 / LA -46.02026-05-27 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 69.5 / LA 13.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 36.02026-05-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -1.02026-05-31 · triple · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 35.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 26.02026-06-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.1 / LA 0.02026-06-01 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -16.02026-06-04 · field out · FC · popup · EV 78.1 / LA 76.02026-06-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 70.6 / LA 21.02026-06-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 82.3 / LA 15.02026-06-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.4 / LA -24.02026-06-05 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA -6.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.4 / LA 16.02026-06-07 · sac bunt · FF · ground_ball · EV 31.6 / LA 6.02026-06-20 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 5.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.8 / LA 23.02026-06-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 23.02026-06-20 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 10.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 58.6 / LA 16.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -6.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Gilbert, Drew · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 25%25%Whiff: 18%18%Zone contact: 91%91%Contact: 82%82%Hard hit: 32%32% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age25
Height5' 9"
Weight195 lb
Debut2025-08-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.013
wOBA Δ+0.045

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.9σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.353
xwOBA (deserved)0.294

Gilbert’s wOBA sits at 0.353, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.294 — a gap of 0.058, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 233 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-07-05Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding12026-06-172 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.222
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.308 xwOBA | 8 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ AZ0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-2 | RBI
2026-04-17 @ WSH1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-3 | HR, BB, K
2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2