Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park trims some of the raw HR output despite the underlying power.
Hitter projection / SF · 2026
Gilbert, Drew
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SF
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
20
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.309 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.294 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.302 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.267
0.284
0.302
0.320
0.336
wOBA
0.313
0.332
0.353
0.374
0.393
ISO
0.122
0.140
0.161
0.181
0.200
K%
12.6%
14.6%
16.7%
18.8%
20.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.3%
6
-29 vs proj
Exit velocity84.0
11
Hard-hit%31.7%
20
-23 vs proj
xBA0.306
31
xSLG0.415
17
xwOBA0.294
37
BB%9.0%
55
Bat speed66.8
18
K%16.7%
81
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · CF
42
Arm Strength93.5 · CF
55
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
46
Range Runs-0.6 · CF
41
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · CF
33
Sprint Speed27.3 · CF
48
SB Success Rate0.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.4% · rebadged research
28
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.306 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
15
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.329 · validated
95
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
54
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
117 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.045 |
| Sample | 233 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 255 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.308 | 0.218 to 0.335 | +/- 0.058 |
| ISO | 0.159 | 0.106 to 0.255 | +/- 0.074 |
| Barrel% | 4.1% | 1.2% to 5.9% | +/- 2.3% |
| Hard-Hit% | 37.4% | 25.1% to 44.5% | +/- 9.7% |
| K% | 19.5% | 11.8% to 27.2% | +/- 7.7% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 2.4% to 10.6% | +/- 4.1% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.200 to 0.321 | +/- 0.061 |
vs LHP
21 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.080 |
| K% | 6.4% |
| BB% | 1.9% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |
vs RHP
93 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.088 |
| K% | 5.5% |
| BB% | 2.2% |
| Barrel | 1.4% |