Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5' 7" |
| Weight | 197 lb |
| Debut | 2025-07-23 |
Player profile / Athletics
Carlos Cortes
RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.
Club Athletics
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.293 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.392 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.336 |
| Observed weight | 44% |
xwOBA
0.305
0.320
0.336
0.352
0.367
wOBA
0.363
0.386
0.411
0.437
0.460
ISO
0.134
0.157
0.183
0.208
0.231
K%
10.9%
13.3%
15.9%
18.5%
20.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.2%
74
+34 vs proj
Barrel%6.5%
69
Bat speed68.9
38
Exit velocity90.2
73
Hard-hit%43.3%
64
+17 vs proj
K%11.2%
96
+43 vs proj
xBA0.359
81
xSLG0.552
62
xwOBA0.392
96
+39 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
44
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
44
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
45
Range Runs-4.3 · RF
1
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · RF
12
Sprint Speed25.9 · RF
18
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Limited
Mithrandir+
Stuff+ and arsenal context
Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.0% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.4% · rebadged research
87
Correct Decisions71.8% · rebadged research
92
Mithrandir Stuff+87
5
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
9
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
26
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
35
Resists FastballwOBA 0.385 · validated
3
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.369 · validated
25
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
93
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Optimization map
Arsenal optimization map
Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.
2Pitches
2026Season
72%Top usage
ride
armside
gloveside
+Arsenal gap
+Shape contrast
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Pitch arsenal
Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition
2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.
| Pitch | Usage | Pitches | Stuff+ | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CH | 72.2% | 13 | 97 | limited sample |
| SL | 27.8% | 5 | 79 | limited sample |
Method note
Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.075 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.094 |
negative regression
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-20 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.317 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, HBP, K |
| 2026-04-20 @ SEA1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 4-5 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB |
| 2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |