Mithrandir Metrics
Player ATH Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / ATH

Carlos Cortes

Player · Bats/Throws L/S · 5' 7", 197 lb · Age 29

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club ATH Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections
PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202599112940.309.323.543.866
2026230205761.279.357.431.788
2 Seasons3293186101.289.347.466.813
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
60
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense4 metrics
40
Speed2 metrics
17
Plate skills12 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.293
xwOBA current pace0.340
xwOBA rolling p500.317
Observed weight52%
xwOBA
0.289 0.303 0.317 0.332 0.346
wOBA
0.311 0.330 0.351 0.371 0.390
ISO
0.123 0.143 0.165 0.187 0.206
K%
12.1% 14.2% 16.5% 18.7% 20.8%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
63
Exit velocity89.9
72
Hard-hit%41.1%
59
xBA0.318
45
xSLG0.494
43
xwOBA0.340
78 +17 vs proj
BB%9.1%
56
Bat speed68.8
37
K%13.7%
91 +34 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · RF
73
Arm Strength91.6 · RF
36
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
46
Range Runs-5.4 · RF
5
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.0 · RF
18
Sprint Speed25.9 · RF
16
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

How nasty this pitcher's stuff grades in our pitch-level model. Missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.7% · rebadged research
89
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.2% · rebadged research
88
Changeup Stuff+97
17
Correct Decisions72.3% · rebadged research
92
Mithrandir Stuff+88
6
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
16
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.298 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
8
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Cortes, Carlos · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.340 2026-07-06: 0.3492026-07-07: 0.3472026-07-08: 0.3472026-07-09: 0.3472026-07-10: 0.3422026-07-11: 0.3422026-07-12: 0.3442026-07-13: 0.3432026-07-14: 0.3402026-07-15: 0.3402026-07-16: 0.3402026-07-17: 0.340 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Optimization map

Arsenal optimization map

Pitch-shape context from this pitcher’s current arsenal snapshot. Hover a pitch to inspect usage, movement, and bat-missing context.

2Pitches 2026Season 89%Top usage
ride armside gloveside +Arsenal gap +Shape contrast
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Cortes, Carlos · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 41%41% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Pitch arsenal

Usage mix, movement map, and Stuff+ composition

2026 pitch-level arsenal aggregates; current season takes over after 100 tracked pitches across at least 2 pitch types. Descriptive pitch-type Stuff+ composition. Not a promoted predictive metric.

Watch the pitches in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH ARSENAL DONUT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cortes, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot Other: 89.5%Eephus: 10.5% FA89% · 73 mphprimary pitch FA 89%EP 11% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics PITCH MOVEMENT Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Pitch Arsenal Cortes, Carlos · 2026 arsenal snapshot 21″42″63″84″ Other: 89% usage, 3″ horizontal break, 40″ drop, 72.6 mphFA73 mphEephus: 11% usage, 2″ horizontal break, 72″ drop, 60.7 mphEP61 mph less drop ↑ more drop ↓ · horizontal break ↔ · dot size = usage · break incl. gravity MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
PitchUsagePitchesStuff+Status
CH 72.2% 13 97 limited sample
SL 27.8% 5 80 limited sample
Method note

Renamed from the attempted Kirby Index after audit; true Kirby requires release-angle trajectory data.

Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.023
wOBA Δ+0.034

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.3σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.351
xwOBA (deserved)0.340

Cortes’s wOBA sits at 0.351, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.340 — a gap of 0.011, -0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 241 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

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Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-20Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.317 xwOBA | 9 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, HBP, K
2026-04-20 @ SEA1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E4-5 | HR, RBI, R
2026-04-17 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB
2026-04-15 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K, R
2026-04-13 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-3