The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Burleson, Alec in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 415 PA

Ranked comps for Burleson, Alec

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA 0.74 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityPull rate Strikeout rate +1.6zWhiff rate +1.3zChase rate +0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.74 Fly-ball rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Strikeout rate +1.0zSwing length +1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R · 244 PA 0.68 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.6zWhiff rate +1.5zHard-hit rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA 0.67 Walk rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Isolated power +1.5zMax exit velocity +1.0zWhiff rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Marte, Ketel AZ · L · 415 PA 0.66 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rateWhiff rate Max exit velocity +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.3zOppo rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.64 Fly-ball rateWalk rateBat speed xwOBA on contact -1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Baldwin, Drake ATL · L · 339 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityChase rateIsolated power Pull rate -2.1zStrikeout rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA 0.63 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact Oppo rate +1.3zPull rate -1.1zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Whiff rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4zPull rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.62 Isolated powerOppo rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.6zChase rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA 0.60 Bat speedMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Swing length -1.7zPull rate -1.6zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA 0.59 Pull rateMax exit velocityWalk rate Sprint speed +2.1zBarrel rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.