The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Vargas, Miguel in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats R · 721 PA

Ranked comps for Vargas, Miguel

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 545 PA 0.71 Bat speedMax exit velocityGround-ball rate Swing length -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1zBarrel rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 634 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactBat speed Swing length -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.1zOppo rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 688 PA 0.61 Oppo rateSweet-spot rateBarrel rate Ground-ball rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA 0.59 Pull rateStrikeout rateWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 647 PA 0.55 Sprint speedAvg exit velocitySweet-spot rate Pull rate -1.8zOppo rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA 0.55 Barrel rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.9zChase rate +1.5zSwing length -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA 0.54 Hard-hit ratePull rateStrikeout rate Swing length -1.8zGround-ball rate +1.3zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 574 PA 0.52 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -2.0zWhiff rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Greene, Riley DET · L · 607 PA 0.51 Avg exit velocityMax exit velocityBarrel rate Whiff rate +1.6zSprint speed -1.5zStrikeout rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Jensen, Carter KC · L · 617 PA 0.50 Bat speedIsolated powerHard-hit rate Strikeout rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.6zSwing length -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 733 PA 0.49 Sweet-spot rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity Chase rate +2.2zIsolated power +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 405 PA 0.48 Sprint speedSweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +2.1zWalk rate -1.9zMax exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.