The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pederson, Joc in signal, the comp in amber.
TEX · bats L · 311 PA
Ranked comps for Pederson, Joc
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA | 0.80 | Isolated powerOppo rateChase rate | Fly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA | 0.78 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball ratePull rate | Swing length +1.1zBat speed +1.1zHard-hit rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Seager, Corey TEX · L · 236 PA | 0.72 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.7zPull rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.71 | Fly-ball rateIsolated powerSwing length | Walk rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA | 0.70 | Whiff rateGround-ball ratePull rate | Walk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate | Max exit velocity +1.4zBat speed +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.68 | Swing lengthSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | In-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.67 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate +1.2zSwing length +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA | 0.66 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed | Chase rate +1.7zPull rate +1.2zBat speed +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | France, Ty SD · R · 249 PA | 0.66 | Sprint speedSwing lengthBat speed | Walk rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1zIn-zone contact +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA | 0.66 | In-zone contactBarrel rateIsolated power | Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateStrikeout rateOppo rate | Whiff rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2zBat speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.