The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Torkelson, Spencer in signal, the comp in amber.
DET · bats R · 393 PA
Ranked comps for Torkelson, Spencer
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA | 0.60 | Pull rateHard-hit rateOppo rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zFly-ball rate -1.8zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.53 | In-zone contactSprint speedWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zSwing length -1.3zPull rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA | 0.53 | Whiff ratePull rateIn-zone contact | Sweet-spot rate -2.1zChase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Bleday, JJ CIN · L · 291 PA | 0.52 | Bat speedPull rateIn-zone contact | Strikeout rate -1.9zSwing length -1.3zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R · 269 PA | 0.51 | Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateWhiff rate | Isolated power -1.7zPull rate -1.5zBarrel rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA | 0.50 | Ground-ball rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.4zChase rate +2.2zBarrel rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA | 0.49 | xwOBA on contactFly-ball rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -2.4zChase rate +1.9zSwing length -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.49 | Oppo rateBarrel ratePull rate | Sweet-spot rate -3.2zGround-ball rate +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA | 0.48 | Strikeout ratePull rateWalk rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.5zFly-ball rate -1.5zGround-ball rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA | 0.47 | Avg exit velocityPull rateHard-hit rate | Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.8zSprint speed +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.47 | Walk rateChase rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate -2.2zSwing length -1.3zFly-ball rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Caissie, Owen MIA · L · 255 PA | 0.47 | Oppo rateIsolated powerBarrel rate | Swing length -1.8zPull rate -1.7zChase rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.