Mithrandir Metrics
Hitter projection 2026 Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026

Soler, Jorge

Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach

Primary
0.324 xwOBA
Range
0.288 to 0.379
Live Δ
yes
Team LAA Archetype Balanced regular Age 34 Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
62
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
60
Defense1 metrics
11
Speed1 metrics
13
Plate skills10 metrics
53
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.323
xwOBA current pace0.304
xwOBA rolling p500.311
Observed weight60%
xwOBA
0.285 0.297 0.311 0.325 0.338
wOBA
0.306 0.322 0.339 0.357 0.373
ISO
0.148 0.166 0.186 0.206 0.224
K%
26.9% 28.4% 29.9% 31.5% 32.9%
Current percentile strip

Actual percentile with projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.0%
78
Exit velocity88.3
52
Hard-hit%41.7%
63
xBA0.332
61
xSLG0.588
73
xwOBA0.304
45 -21 vs proj
BB%9.7%
64
Bat speed73.1
90
K%31.5%
10 -15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Arm Runs-0.9 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-1.4 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.7 · DH
13
Mithrandir+

SEAGER+ and decision components

SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.7% · rebadged research
56
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.5% · rebadged research
66
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.319 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
30
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.263 · validated thin sample
91
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.338 · insufficient sample
33
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
73
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Soler, Jorge · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.304 2026-07-05: 0.3092026-07-06: 0.3082026-07-07: 0.3052026-07-08: 0.3052026-07-09: 0.3042026-07-10: 0.3042026-07-11: 0.3022026-07-12: 0.3042026-07-13: 0.3072026-07-14: 0.3042026-07-15: 0.3042026-07-16: 0.304 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

149 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

All BIP Singles Doubles Triples HR vs LHP vs RHP Home / Away
Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Soler, Jorge · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 22% of plotted batted ballsPull 22%Center field third: 62% of plotted batted ballsCenter 62%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 347 CF 396 RF 350 2026-03-15 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 31.02026-03-15 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 61.2 / LA 37.02026-03-19 · field out · pitch · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -26.02026-03-22 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 109.6 / LA 21.02026-03-22 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.1 / LA 33.02026-03-23 · grounded into double play · FO · ground_ball · EV 70.1 / LA -3.02026-03-23 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 36.02026-03-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 15.02026-03-26 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.4 / LA 10.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 58.02026-03-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 21.02026-03-27 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -6.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 33.02026-03-28 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 20.02026-03-29 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 82.5 / LA 25.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 2.02026-03-30 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -6.02026-03-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 73.1 / LA 18.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 76.3 / LA -12.02026-04-01 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA -10.02026-04-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 63.9 / LA 23.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 48.02026-04-03 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 49.02026-04-03 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -2.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA -1.02026-04-05 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 4.02026-04-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 111.3 / LA 5.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · popup · EV 63.0 / LA 56.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 45.02026-04-06 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 21.02026-04-07 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 109.2 / LA 21.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 9.02026-04-08 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 30.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.0 / LA 71.02026-04-10 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.4 / LA 26.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.4 / LA -26.02026-04-10 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 89.2 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 33.02026-04-11 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 32.02026-04-11 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 83.5 / LA 31.02026-04-12 · sac fly double play · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.5 / LA 37.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 20.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -6.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 44.02026-04-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.6 / LA 8.02026-04-13 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 11.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · popup · EV 77.4 / LA 64.02026-04-14 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 34.02026-04-14 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -22.02026-04-19 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 2.02026-04-20 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 5.02026-04-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA -54.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA -8.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.4 / LA 1.02026-04-21 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 14.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 98.1 / LA 71.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 80.4 / LA 74.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 46.02026-04-24 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 18.02026-04-25 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 17.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 43.02026-04-26 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 103.4 / LA 22.02026-04-26 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.4 / LA -52.02026-04-26 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 93.9 / LA 16.02026-04-26 · field out · CS · popup · EV 56.9 / LA 61.02026-04-27 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 107.9 / LA 24.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 21.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA -24.02026-04-27 · sac fly · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 34.02026-04-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 48.3 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 78.4 / LA 15.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -3.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 37.02026-04-29 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 72.2 / LA 32.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 71.3 / LA -28.02026-05-01 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 23.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -32.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.3 / LA -24.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.1 / LA -10.02026-05-02 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 48.5 / LA 21.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 53.02026-05-03 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA -3.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 21.02026-05-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -21.02026-05-05 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 26.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 45.02026-05-05 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.0 / LA -18.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 73.6 / LA 16.02026-05-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -11.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.7 / LA -15.02026-05-09 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 20.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.1 / LA -2.02026-05-09 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 66.1 / LA -3.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -2.02026-05-10 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 48.02026-05-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.0 / LA 36.02026-05-11 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 2.02026-05-11 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 57.7 / LA -32.02026-05-12 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 106.8 / LA 9.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 101.1 / LA 63.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 93.1 / LA 12.02026-05-15 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -6.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -5.02026-05-16 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 22.02026-05-16 · double · FF · ground_ball · EV 109.4 / LA 5.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA -11.02026-05-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA -5.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 84.4 / LA 77.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.9 / LA -12.02026-05-19 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 9.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 35.8 / LA -5.02026-05-19 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 41.02026-05-19 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 89.0 / LA 9.02026-05-20 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 108.6 / LA 29.02026-05-20 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 45.02026-05-20 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 33.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.3 / LA -8.02026-05-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.0 / LA 4.02026-05-22 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 75.1 / LA 22.02026-05-22 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 77.4 / LA 13.02026-05-22 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 59.7 / LA -10.02026-05-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 57.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -38.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -7.02026-05-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.5 / LA 8.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 36.02026-05-24 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 99.9 / LA 19.02026-05-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 8.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 108.2 / LA 2.02026-05-26 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 10.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.2 / LA -8.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.3 / LA 30.02026-05-27 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 84.4 / LA 13.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -27.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -12.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 56.5 / LA -72.02026-05-31 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 70.9 / LA 16.02026-06-01 · triple · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.4 / LA 31.02026-06-01 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -4.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.6 / LA 38.02026-06-01 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 76.9 / LA 61.02026-06-01 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 111.6 / LA 7.02026-06-22 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.0 / LA 33.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.7 / LA -6.02026-06-24 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 28.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.1 / LA 59.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 20.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 85.2 / LA 24.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.8 / LA 55.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Soler, Jorge · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 74.2 mph Hard swing rate 46% Whiff / swing 36% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Soler, Jorge · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 34%34%Zone contact: 79%79%Contact: 66%66%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Model read

Projection notes

1
templated note
Projected to do more damage vs lefties (0.309 vs 0.275 xwOBA split).
2
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
3
templated note
Walk rate keeps the offensive floor healthy even if the batted-ball results wobble.
4
templated note
Age-34 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Live context

Current-season signal

xwOBA Δ-0.020
wOBA Δ+0.015
Sample330 PA

negative regression

Projection table

Point projection and range

MetricPointRangeHalf-width
Plate Appearances431----
Home Runs19----
Stolen Bases0----
xwOBA0.3240.288 to 0.379+/- 0.046
ISO0.1950.106 to 0.277+/- 0.085
Barrel%7.1%5.2% to 10.2%+/- 2.5%
Hard-Hit%43.2%38.3% to 52.3%+/- 7.0%
K%27.1%21.6% to 32.8%+/- 5.6%
BB%9.6%7.3% to 13.0%+/- 2.8%
BABIP0.2770.228 to 0.323+/- 0.047
Platoon / Shape
vs LHP

1116 career PA

xwOBA0.309
K%20.3%
BB%10.7%
Barrel7.7%
vs RHP

3387 career PA

xwOBA0.275
K%22.5%
BB%8.3%
Barrel6.3%