The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Ozuna, Marcell in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats R · 269 PA

Ranked comps for Ozuna, Marcell

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R · 278 PA 0.67 Sweet-spot rateSwing lengthIsolated power Sprint speed +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.1zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
02 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.66 Pull rateIn-zone contactWalk rate Ground-ball rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2zHard-hit rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSwing length Ground-ball rate +1.9zSweet-spot rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 279 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocityOppo rate Sweet-spot rate -1.2zBat speed -1.2zPull rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.57 Oppo rateIn-zone contactChase rate Barrel rate +1.3zHard-hit rate +1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Gorman, Nolan STL · L · 242 PA 0.56 Sprint speedOppo rateIsolated power In-zone contact -1.8zSweet-spot rate -1.5zWhiff rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.55 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.4zSwing length +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateFly-ball rateOppo rate Sprint speed +2.0zIsolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA 0.54 Whiff rateBat speedIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate -2.4zGround-ball rate +1.6zHard-hit rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Aranda, Jonathan TB · L · 425 PA 0.53 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactSprint speed Whiff rate -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.52 Whiff rateHard-hit rateSprint speed Sweet-spot rate -2.1zOppo rate -1.8zBat speed -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA 0.52 Strikeout rateHard-hit rateWalk rate Pull rate +1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.5zIsolated power +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.