The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Alvarez, Francisco in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats R · 244 PA

Ranked comps for Alvarez, Francisco

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.78 In-zone contactPull rateAvg exit velocity Sprint speed +1.3zBarrel rate -1.1zOppo rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA 0.75 Walk rateIsolated powerWhiff rate Oppo rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.1zStrikeout rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA 0.74 Strikeout rateMax exit velocityBat speed Isolated power +1.2zChase rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.71 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityHard-hit rate Oppo rate +1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1zIsolated power +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Vientos, Mark NYM · R · 269 PA 0.71 Sweet-spot rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Oppo rate +1.7zMax exit velocity -0.8zWalk rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Sánchez, Jesús TOR · L · 251 PA 0.69 Ground-ball rateIsolated powerMax exit velocity Swing length -1.1zOppo rate +1.1zPull rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA 0.68 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactFly-ball rate Strikeout rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.5zHard-hit rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.67 Max exit velocityHard-hit rateWalk rate Swing length +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.63 Avg exit velocityBat speedHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.63 Whiff rateSwing lengthSprint speed Bat speed -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA 0.63 Whiff rateFly-ball ratexwOBA on contact Walk rate +1.4zIsolated power +1.1zHard-hit rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 236 PA 0.62 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +1.7zSwing length -1.4zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.