The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bogaerts, Xander in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats R · 379 PA

Ranked comps for Bogaerts, Xander

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 431 PA 0.71 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBarrel rate Pull rate -1.3zOppo rate +1.1zSprint speed -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 297 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateSweet-spot rateGround-ball rate Strikeout rate +1.5zOppo rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA 0.68 Whiff rateMax exit velocityAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 288 PA 0.66 Avg exit velocityGround-ball rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zStrikeout rate +1.2zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.63 In-zone contactFly-ball rateBarrel rate Bat speed +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Yoshida, Masataka BOS · L · 220 PA 0.62 Avg exit velocityFly-ball rateBat speed Strikeout rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1zGround-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA 0.62 Whiff rateBarrel ratePull rate Ground-ball rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.2zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Mayer, Marcelo BOS · L · 248 PA 0.60 Barrel rateStrikeout rateIn-zone contact Pull rate -1.5zOppo rate +1.2zSwing length +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 231 PA 0.58 Sprint speedBat speedGround-ball rate Pull rate -1.6zStrikeout rate -1.2zOppo rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 229 PA 0.58 Chase rateWhiff rateGround-ball rate Walk rate -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3zPull rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA 0.57 Sweet-spot rateWalk rateChase rate Ground-ball rate -1.9zPull rate -1.2zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA 0.55 Swing lengthHard-hit rateWhiff rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.2zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.