The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, J.P. in signal, the comp in amber.

SEA · bats L · 335 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, J.P.

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA 0.71 Isolated powerSprint speedBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.6zChase rate +1.0zPull rate -0.9z
02 Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 280 PA 0.70 Bat speedStrikeout ratePull rate Walk rate -1.2zSprint speed -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z
03 Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 241 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactIsolated powerSprint speed Walk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.1zChase rate +1.0z
04 Antonacci, Sam CWS · L · 315 PA 0.61 Hard-hit rateBarrel rateIsolated power Walk rate -1.9zSprint speed +1.8zSwing length -1.2z
05 Julien, Edouard COL · L · 270 PA 0.61 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateBat speed Hard-hit rate +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.1zAvg exit velocity +1.1z
06 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 343 PA 0.61 In-zone contactStrikeout ratePull rate Max exit velocity +1.4zWhiff rate +1.4zHard-hit rate +1.0z
07 Moreno, Gabriel AZ · R · 288 PA 0.59 Pull rateWhiff rateBat speed Oppo rate +1.8zChase rate +1.7zHard-hit rate +0.9z
08 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA 0.58 xwOBA on contactWhiff rateBat speed Walk rate -1.6zSprint speed +1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.3z
09 Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 442 PA 0.58 Whiff rateIsolated powerSprint speed Oppo rate -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.6z
10 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA 0.57 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactSwing length Walk rate -1.7zFly-ball rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.4z
11 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA 0.57 Isolated powerMax exit velocityBarrel rate Fly-ball rate +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.7zOppo rate -1.2z
12 Gilbert, Drew SF · L · 233 PA 0.57 Isolated powerFly-ball rateSwing length Walk rate -1.4zAvg exit velocity -1.3zBarrel rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.