The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.
KC · bats L · 327 PA
Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 400 PA | 0.80 | Max exit velocitySweet-spot ratePull rate | Bat speed -1.1zHard-hit rate -0.8zFly-ball rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 442 PA | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact | Strikeout rate -1.1zSprint speed -1.1zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Carter, Evan TEX · L · 278 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateBarrel rateOppo rate | In-zone contact -1.3zWhiff rate +1.1zSprint speed +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Thomas, Lane KC · R · 288 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateWhiff rateBat speed | Oppo rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.3zSprint speed +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA | 0.68 | Oppo rateFly-ball rateBarrel rate | In-zone contact -1.2zBat speed -1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Springer, George TOR · R · 312 PA | 0.65 | Bat speedFly-ball rateHard-hit rate | Swing length +1.8zIsolated power +1.2zBarrel rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 435 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactOppo rateAvg exit velocity | Strikeout rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA | 0.64 | Barrel ratexwOBA on contactBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1zWalk rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 400 PA | 0.64 | Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateWalk rate | Swing length +1.4zMax exit velocity -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 211 PA | 0.62 | Fly-ball rateOppo rateIn-zone contact | Strikeout rate -1.3zWalk rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 267 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactWhiff ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.61 | Oppo rateHard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Isolated power +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zSwing length +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.