Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Rengifo, Luis
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team SD
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 29
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
30
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.294 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.280
0.291
0.305
0.318
0.330
wOBA
0.265
0.283
0.303
0.324
0.342
ISO
0.088
0.100
0.115
0.129
0.142
K%
13.1%
14.1%
15.3%
16.4%
17.5%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
40
Exit velocity87.5
41
Hard-hit%35.7%
33
xBA0.287
19
xSLG0.388
9
xwOBA0.294
36
BB%8.7%
51
+24 vs proj
Bat speed69.5
48
K%11.7%
97
+28 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.2 · 3B
56
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs-1.4 · 3B
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.1 · 3B
42
SB Success Rate66.7% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.2% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.6% · rebadged research
87
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
75
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.279 · validated thin sample
49
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.356 · validated
20
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.335 · validated
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
66
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
164 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.009 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.000 |
| Sample | 231 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 514 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 12 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.303 | 0.277 to 0.341 | +/- 0.032 |
| ISO | 0.125 | 0.102 to 0.203 | +/- 0.051 |
| Barrel% | 3.6% | 2.7% to 5.8% | +/- 1.6% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.0% | 31.1% to 40.5% | +/- 4.7% |
| K% | 19.2% | 16.0% to 22.9% | +/- 3.5% |
| BB% | 6.7% | 4.9% to 9.5% | +/- 2.3% |
| BABIP | 0.286 | 0.263 to 0.330 | +/- 0.033 |
vs LHP
716 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.261 |
| K% | 15.4% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 3.9% |
vs RHP
1901 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.249 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 5.7% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |