The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Kelly, Carson in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats R · 441 PA
Ranked comps for Kelly, Carson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA | 0.79 | Fly-ball rateGround-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Walk rate -1.0zChase rate +0.9zSprint speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 462 PA | 0.78 | Barrel rateSweet-spot rateChase rate | Pull rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -0.8zSprint speed -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Crawford, J.P. SEA · L · 481 PA | 0.76 | Avg exit velocityIsolated powerBarrel rate | Walk rate +1.3zChase rate -1.0zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Cortes, Carlos ATH · L · 386 PA | 0.76 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.3zMax exit velocity +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Caratini, Victor MIN · L · 396 PA | 0.74 | Bat speedGround-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 350 PA | 0.73 | Pull rateGround-ball rateWalk rate | Sprint speed +1.3zAvg exit velocity +0.9zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bohm, Alec PHI · R · 645 PA | 0.73 | Chase rateIn-zone contactIsolated power | Avg exit velocity +1.4zHard-hit rate +0.9zPull rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Vaughn, Andrew MIL · R · 354 PA | 0.71 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Oppo rate +1.3zAvg exit velocity +1.3zMax exit velocity +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateWhiff rateMax exit velocity | Sprint speed +1.6zStrikeout rate +1.0zHard-hit rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.70 | Avg exit velocityWalk rateBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.3zSprint speed +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Collins, Isaac KC · L · 524 PA | 0.69 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Sprint speed +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zWalk rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Palacios, Richie TB · L · 400 PA | 0.66 | Whiff rateStrikeout rateIsolated power | Pull rate +1.3zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.