The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
No strong comp exists for this profile this season. The sky shows the nearest neighbors anyway, scored honestly on the same global scale as everyone else.
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Murakami, Munetaka in signal, the comp in amber.
Ranked comps for Murakami, Munetaka
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Judge, Aaron NYY · R · 270 PA | 0.46 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | In-zone contact +2.3zFly-ball rate -1.6zWhiff rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Kurtz, Nick ATH · L · 430 PA | 0.32 | xwOBA on contactAvg exit velocityChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.5zFly-ball rate -2.2zOppo rate +1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.32 | Swing lengthStrikeout rateOppo rate | Walk rate -2.4zIn-zone contact +1.9zFly-ball rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R · 237 PA | 0.30 | Pull rateOppo rateBat speed | In-zone contact +2.1zWalk rate -2.1zFly-ball rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Schwarber, Kyle PHI · L · 425 PA | 0.28 | Barrel rateIsolated powerAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +3.0zGround-ball rate -2.3zIn-zone contact +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.24 | Pull rateSprint speedBarrel rate | In-zone contact +3.3zWhiff rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Cruz, Oneil PIT · L · 300 PA | 0.23 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate -2.6zWalk rate -2.2zIn-zone contact +1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA | 0.23 | Max exit velocityAvg exit velocityGround-ball rate | Walk rate -2.6zWhiff rate -2.1zxwOBA on contact -1.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L · 417 PA | 0.23 | Swing lengthxwOBA on contactAvg exit velocity | In-zone contact +3.0zSweet-spot rate +2.9zWhiff rate -2.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 416 PA | 0.22 | Strikeout rateChase ratePull rate | Swing length -2.3zIn-zone contact +2.0zHard-hit rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA | 0.20 | Strikeout rateOppo rateSwing length | Walk rate -3.0zIn-zone contact +2.2zGround-ball rate -1.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.20 | Avg exit velocityBat speedGround-ball rate | In-zone contact +2.8zWhiff rate -2.2zWalk rate -1.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.