Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-33 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / PHI · 2026
García, Adolis
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team PHI
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 33
Status IL-60
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.325 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.294 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.307 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.281
0.294
0.307
0.321
0.334
wOBA
0.275
0.292
0.311
0.330
0.346
ISO
0.134
0.150
0.168
0.185
0.201
K%
25.9%
27.3%
28.9%
30.5%
31.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
61
-19 vs proj
Exit velocity92.4
94
Hard-hit%48.8%
87
xBA0.346
75
xSLG0.569
69
xwOBA0.294
36
-29 vs proj
BB%8.6%
51
+19 vs proj
Bat speed69.9
52
K%31.3%
11
-25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.2 · RF
86
Arm Strength96.8 · RF
76
Outs Above Avg4.0 · RF
95
Range Runs3.3 · RF
84
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · RF
58
Sprint Speed26.5 · RF
27
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.5% · rebadged research
65
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.268 · borderline
86
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.269 · validated thin sample
82
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.331 · insufficient sample
49
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
49
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.328 · validated
96
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
148 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| Sample | 278 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 552 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 24 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.321 | 0.296 to 0.374 | +/- 0.039 |
| ISO | 0.179 | 0.138 to 0.273 | +/- 0.067 |
| Barrel% | 7.2% | 5.6% to 10.0% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 47.5% | 41.0% to 55.0% | +/- 7.0% |
| K% | 25.1% | 21.9% to 31.9% | +/- 5.0% |
| BB% | 7.1% | 4.5% to 9.9% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.281 | 0.224 to 0.324 | +/- 0.050 |
vs LHP
937 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.262 |
| K% | 24.6% |
| BB% | 6.9% |
| Barrel | 7.0% |
vs RHP
2387 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.268 |
| K% | 22.9% |
| BB% | 5.5% |
| Barrel | 6.9% |