The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Gorman, Nolan in signal, the comp in amber.

STL · bats L · 242 PA

Ranked comps for Gorman, Nolan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Wells, Austin NYY · L · 231 PA 0.68 Hard-hit rateSwing lengthChase rate In-zone contact +1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R · 279 PA 0.61 Oppo ratexwOBA on contactChase rate Hard-hit rate -1.5zFly-ball rate -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA 0.58 Sweet-spot rateStrikeout rateMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -1.7zIsolated power +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R · 269 PA 0.56 Sprint speedOppo rateIsolated power In-zone contact +1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Raleigh, Cal SEA · L · 297 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactWalk rateStrikeout rate Fly-ball rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Manzardo, Kyle CLE · L · 332 PA 0.53 Strikeout rateAvg exit velocityChase rate Oppo rate -1.8zIn-zone contact +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.51 Pull rateSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate Isolated power +1.8zIn-zone contact +1.5zWhiff rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.50 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactChase rate Sprint speed +2.0zIn-zone contact +1.9zWhiff rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.48 Chase rateHard-hit rateMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.8zBarrel rate +1.8zIsolated power +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
10 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.46 Strikeout rateOppo rateMax exit velocity Fly-ball rate -2.4zIn-zone contact +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA 0.46 Chase rateAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Sprint speed +1.9zIn-zone contact +1.9zFly-ball rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.45 xwOBA on contactBat speedIsolated power Sprint speed +2.4zIn-zone contact +1.8zWhiff rate -1.7z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.