Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Suárez, Eugenio
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CIN
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
61
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.302 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.297
0.308
0.320
0.330
wOBA
0.314
0.327
0.341
0.355
0.368
ISO
0.189
0.201
0.214
0.227
0.239
K%
30.0%
31.1%
32.4%
33.7%
34.8%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
73
Exit velocity88.5
57
Hard-hit%36.3%
40
-38 vs proj
xBA0.330
64
xSLG0.616
83
xwOBA0.302
50
-24 vs proj
BB%10.9%
79
+32 vs proj
Bat speed69.6
49
K%33.6%
6
-15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength83.0 · 3B
14
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 3B
3
Range Runs-5.5 · 3B
11
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · DH
26
Sprint Speed26.2 · DH
21
SB Success Rate0.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.8% · rebadged research
67
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.3% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
66
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.307 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
0
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.259 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.357 · insufficient sample
7
Resists FastballwOBA 0.406 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
173 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.025 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.014 |
| Sample | 506 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 633 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 35 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.327 | 0.291 to 0.366 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.207 | 0.157 to 0.285 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 7.7% | 5.2% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.4% | 38.6% to 51.3% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 28.7% | 24.9% to 35.0% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 5.3% to 10.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.241 to 0.335 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
1677 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 28.2% |
| BB% | 9.1% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |
vs RHP
4912 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 26.1% |
| BB% | 6.1% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |