Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
2
templated note
Age-35 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / CIN · 2026
Suárez, Eugenio
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team CIN
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 35
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
40
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.266 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.291 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.266
0.278
0.291
0.305
0.316
wOBA
0.293
0.310
0.329
0.348
0.365
ISO
0.156
0.171
0.188
0.206
0.221
K%
30.1%
31.5%
33.1%
34.7%
36.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.7%
44
-40 vs proj
Exit velocity88.0
49
Hard-hit%31.7%
20
-53 vs proj
xBA0.321
51
xSLG0.545
62
xwOBA0.266
14
-55 vs proj
BB%9.7%
64
+19 vs proj
Bat speed68.5
34
K%35.8%
3
-17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 3B
5
Range Runs-4.2 · 3B
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · DH
16
SB Success Rate0.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.5% · rebadged research
55
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
38
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
40
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
3
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.285 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.384 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346 · validated
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.327 · validated
96
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
48
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
96 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.061 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.002 |
| Sample | 279 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 633 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 35 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.327 | 0.291 to 0.366 | +/- 0.038 |
| ISO | 0.207 | 0.157 to 0.285 | +/- 0.064 |
| Barrel% | 7.7% | 5.2% to 10.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 44.4% | 38.6% to 51.3% | +/- 6.4% |
| K% | 28.7% | 24.9% to 35.0% | +/- 5.1% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 5.3% to 10.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.283 | 0.241 to 0.335 | +/- 0.047 |
vs LHP
1677 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.283 |
| K% | 28.2% |
| BB% | 9.1% |
| Barrel | 6.7% |
vs RHP
4912 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.271 |
| K% | 26.1% |
| BB% | 6.1% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |