The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Sheets, Gavin in signal, the comp in amber.

SD · bats L · 431 PA

Ranked comps for Sheets, Gavin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Herrera, Iván STL · R · 717 PA 0.84 Hard-hit rateStrikeout rateOppo rate Isolated power -1.0zFly-ball rate -0.6zChase rate -0.5z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA 0.79 Barrel rateSweet-spot rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate -1.1zChase rate -1.1zWalk rate -0.7z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 466 PA 0.73 Ground-ball ratePull rateSweet-spot rate Avg exit velocity +1.0zChase rate -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 719 PA 0.72 Barrel rateBat speedChase rate Oppo rate -1.3zSprint speed +1.2zSwing length -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Machado, Manny SD · R · 681 PA 0.71 Walk rateIsolated powerChase rate In-zone contact -1.1zFly-ball rate +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 639 PA 0.69 Bat speedHard-hit rateChase rate Whiff rate +1.4zWalk rate -1.3zIn-zone contact -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.69 Avg exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate Sprint speed +1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R · 384 PA 0.68 In-zone contactHard-hit rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zSwing length -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R · 465 PA 0.67 xwOBA on contactChase rateBarrel rate Walk rate -1.7zSwing length -1.1zBat speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Contreras, William MIL · R · 649 PA 0.66 Whiff rateBat speedOppo rate Pull rate -1.3zSwing length -1.1zAvg exit velocity +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 642 PA 0.66 Strikeout rateHard-hit ratePull rate Walk rate -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 546 PA 0.63 Swing lengthBarrel rateStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.2zIsolated power -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.