Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Grissom, Vaughn
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
45
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.272 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.299 |
| Observed weight | 68% |
xwOBA
0.271
0.284
0.299
0.314
0.327
wOBA
0.294
0.307
0.322
0.336
0.350
ISO
0.104
0.119
0.135
0.152
0.167
K%
15.9%
17.3%
18.9%
20.5%
21.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.9%
52
Exit velocity87.2
42
Hard-hit%35.8%
38
xBA0.307
36
xSLG0.479
44
xwOBA0.311
59
+32 vs proj
BB%6.7%
30
Bat speed68.8
38
K%18.1%
77
+24 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.5 · 1B
85
Outs Above Avg-8.0 · 1B
2
Range Runs-7.9 · 1B
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.4 · 1B
52
Sprint Speed27.0 · 1B
38
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.8% · rebadged research
58
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions67.0% · rebadged research
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
74
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
74
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.283 · validated thin sample
39
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
30
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
14
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.317 · validated
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
217 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| Sample | 465 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 214 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 4 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.282 | 0.178 to 0.308 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.028 to 0.202 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 1.3% to 6.8% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.7% | 21.3% to 44.9% | +/- 11.8% |
| K% | 22.2% | 13.5% to 29.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 2.1% to 9.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.280 | 0.196 to 0.347 | +/- 0.075 |
vs LHP
112 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 8.2% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
264 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.112 |
| K% | 7.8% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |