Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
None
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team LAA
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.274 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.350 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 41% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.283
0.305
0.328
0.349
wOBA
0.281
0.304
0.330
0.355
0.378
ISO
0.078
0.104
0.132
0.160
0.185
K%
11.8%
14.1%
16.7%
19.3%
21.6%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.8%
60
+19 vs proj
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%46.3%
80
+51 vs proj
xBA0.303
29
xSLG0.507
49
xwOBA0.350
79
+55 vs proj
BB%9.0%
53
+29 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
53
K%11.0%
97
+47 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.5 · 2B
87
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
26
Range Runs-1.4 · 2B
30
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.8 · 1B
36
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.1% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.1% · rebadged research
32
Correct Decisions68.5% · rebadged research
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.299 · borderline
24
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.278 · insufficient sample
49
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.277 · validated thin sample
47
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
81
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
33
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.349 · validated
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
104 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.067 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.047 |
| Sample | 155 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 214 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 4 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.282 | 0.178 to 0.308 | +/- 0.065 |
| ISO | 0.099 | 0.028 to 0.202 | +/- 0.087 |
| Barrel% | 4.4% | 1.3% to 6.9% | +/- 2.8% |
| Hard-Hit% | 34.7% | 21.3% to 44.9% | +/- 11.8% |
| K% | 22.1% | 13.5% to 29.7% | +/- 8.1% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 2.1% to 9.8% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.281 | 0.196 to 0.347 | +/- 0.075 |
vs LHP
112 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.117 |
| K% | 8.2% |
| BB% | 2.9% |
| Barrel | 1.9% |
vs RHP
264 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.112 |
| K% | 7.8% |
| BB% | 2.5% |
| Barrel | 1.7% |