The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Caissie, Owen in signal, the comp in amber.

MIA · bats L · 255 PA

Ranked comps for Caissie, Owen

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA 0.56 Bat speedPull rateGround-ball rate Sweet-spot rate -2.6zFly-ball rate +1.3zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Raley, Luke SEA · L · 281 PA 0.56 xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateBat speed Sweet-spot rate -1.8zPull rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Torkelson, Spencer DET · R · 393 PA 0.47 Oppo rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Swing length +1.8zPull rate +1.7zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA 0.43 Fly-ball rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.6zStrikeout rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA 0.41 Swing lengthBarrel rateAvg exit velocity Sweet-spot rate -2.9zPull rate +1.9zStrikeout rate -1.9z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 382 PA 0.40 Sprint speedHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Strikeout rate -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.8zWhiff rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Carpenter, Kerry DET · L · 255 PA 0.39 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Sweet-spot rate -2.8zFly-ball rate +1.4zStrikeout rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Laureano, Ramón SD · R · 224 PA 0.37 Swing lengthSprint speedBarrel rate Sweet-spot rate -2.8zOppo rate +2.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R · 269 PA 0.37 Bat speedPull rateWalk rate Sprint speed -2.3zIsolated power -1.7zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.36 Chase rateOppo rateIsolated power Sweet-spot rate -2.5zStrikeout rate -2.0zPull rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 García, Adolis PHI · R · 278 PA 0.36 Hard-hit rateMax exit velocityChase rate Sweet-spot rate -2.5zFly-ball rate -1.6zSwing length +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.35 Max exit velocityPull rateChase rate Sweet-spot rate -3.4zStrikeout rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.