Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / SD · 2026
Laureano, Ramón
Veteran bat leaning on contact and approach
Team SD
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.312 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.315 |
| Observed weight | 50% |
xwOBA
0.286
0.300
0.315
0.330
0.344
wOBA
0.287
0.306
0.327
0.348
0.367
ISO
0.138
0.152
0.169
0.185
0.199
K%
25.5%
27.0%
28.7%
30.4%
31.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.8%
64
+38 vs proj
Barrel%7.6%
80
Bat speed70.2
58
Exit velocity87.9
43
Hard-hit%41.7%
58
K%31.7%
8
-24 vs proj
xBA0.345
69
xSLG0.636
82
xwOBA0.312
54
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · LF
59
Arm Strength93.6 · LF
63
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs-0.2 · LF
54
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.9 · LF
75
SB Success Rate85.7% · LF
66
Sprint Speed27.9 · LF
67
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 65.2% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.9% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
74
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
83
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.294 · validated thin sample
12
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.350 · validated
32
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
53
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
121 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.009 |
| Sample | 224 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 486 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 18 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.318 | 0.283 to 0.367 | +/- 0.042 |
| ISO | 0.160 | 0.141 to 0.246 | +/- 0.052 |
| Barrel% | 6.7% | 5.1% to 8.9% | +/- 1.9% |
| Hard-Hit% | 42.7% | 36.6% to 48.0% | +/- 5.7% |
| K% | 25.4% | 21.6% to 31.4% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 6.6% | 5.1% to 10.1% | +/- 2.5% |
| BABIP | 0.301 | 0.263 to 0.348 | +/- 0.043 |
vs LHP
908 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.281 |
| K% | 20.7% |
| BB% | 6.0% |
| Barrel | 6.2% |
vs RHP
2091 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.259 |
| K% | 22.7% |
| BB% | 5.4% |
| Barrel | 5.8% |