Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Age-32 season adds a little downside to the power band.
Hitter projection / ATH · 2026
Rooker, Brent
Impact bat with above-average thump
Team ATH
Archetype Balanced regular
Age 32
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.352 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.332 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.301
0.316
0.332
0.348
0.363
wOBA
0.292
0.313
0.336
0.359
0.380
ISO
0.155
0.176
0.199
0.222
0.242
K%
24.4%
26.0%
27.7%
29.4%
31.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.0%
53
Barrel%9.0%
88
Bat speed72.4
84
Exit velocity89.5
62
Hard-hit%41.4%
57
-28 vs proj
K%30.3%
12
-23 vs proj
xBA0.318
43
xSLG0.656
86
xwOBA0.309
49
-36 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · RF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF · small sample regression applied
64
Regression applied
Range Runs0.0 · RF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.7 · DH
61
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
46
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.3% · rebadged research
88
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.284 · insufficient sample
30
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258 · validated thin sample
90
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
26
Resists FastballwOBA 0.346 · validated
38
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
108 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.055 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.028 |
| Sample | 188 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 621 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 32 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.364 | 0.307 to 0.394 | +/- 0.044 |
| ISO | 0.213 | 0.148 to 0.298 | +/- 0.075 |
| Barrel% | 8.4% | 6.2% to 10.7% | +/- 2.2% |
| Hard-Hit% | 48.2% | 41.3% to 53.7% | +/- 6.2% |
| K% | 24.8% | 21.3% to 31.0% | +/- 4.9% |
| BB% | 9.2% | 7.2% to 12.7% | +/- 2.7% |
| BABIP | 0.317 | 0.278 to 0.368 | +/- 0.045 |
vs LHP
607 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.319 |
| K% | 20.3% |
| BB% | 9.4% |
| Barrel | 7.0% |
vs RHP
1600 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.300 |
| K% | 23.9% |
| BB% | 7.6% |
| Barrel | 8.0% |