The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Raley, Luke in signal, the comp in amber.
SEA · bats L · 281 PA
Ranked comps for Raley, Luke
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Goodman, Hunter COL · R · 400 PA | 0.56 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateSwing length | Sweet-spot rate -1.5zIn-zone contact +1.3zWalk rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Rooker, Brent ATH · R · 215 PA | 0.56 | Barrel rateStrikeout rateBat speed | Fly-ball rate +2.0zPull rate -1.2zWalk rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Caissie, Owen MIA · L · 255 PA | 0.56 | xwOBA on contactGround-ball rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.8zPull rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Montgomery, Colson CWS · L · 405 PA | 0.49 | Isolated powerStrikeout rateHard-hit rate | Sprint speed -1.5zOppo rate -1.5zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Lowe, Brandon PIT · L · 418 PA | 0.46 | Chase rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Oppo rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.4zSprint speed -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Contreras, Willson BOS · R · 381 PA | 0.46 | Chase ratexwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | In-zone contact +2.0zWhiff rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Stowers, Kyle MIA · L · 310 PA | 0.43 | Chase rateBat speedFly-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.6zSwing length -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.43 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIsolated power | Sweet-spot rate -1.8zSprint speed -1.8zWalk rate +1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA | 0.43 | Bat speedStrikeout rateAvg exit velocity | Sprint speed -2.2zxwOBA on contact -1.7zSwing length +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA | 0.43 | Barrel rateHard-hit rateSprint speed | In-zone contact +2.1zWhiff rate -2.0zStrikeout rate -1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA | 0.41 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityIsolated power | Walk rate +1.9zMax exit velocity -1.6zWhiff rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA | 0.41 | Bat speedMax exit velocityPull rate | Sweet-spot rate -2.4zxwOBA on contact -1.8zIn-zone contact +1.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.