The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Smith, Cam in signal, the comp in amber.

HOU · bats R · 374 PA

Ranked comps for Smith, Cam

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 392 PA 0.80 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Chase rate +1.6zGround-ball rate -0.9zBarrel rate -0.8z
02 Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R · 426 PA 0.70 Whiff ratexwOBA on contactWalk rate Fly-ball rate -1.1zIsolated power -1.1zSwing length -1.0z
03 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA 0.70 Max exit velocitySprint speedIn-zone contact Oppo rate -1.3zPull rate +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z
04 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 296 PA 0.66 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateSweet-spot rate In-zone contact +1.4zIsolated power +1.2zAvg exit velocity +1.0z
05 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 418 PA 0.65 Oppo rateBat speedStrikeout rate Walk rate -1.8zChase rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.2z
06 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.63 Walk rateSweet-spot rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate -1.6zFly-ball rate +1.2zSprint speed -1.1z
07 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.63 Walk rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.4zChase rate +1.2z
08 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 244 PA 0.61 Whiff rateOppo rateStrikeout rate Walk rate +2.2zSprint speed -1.4zIn-zone contact -1.0z
09 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.57 Oppo rateStrikeout rateIsolated power xwOBA on contact -1.6zBarrel rate -1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.1z
10 Griffin, Konnor PIT · R · 261 PA 0.57 Swing lengthIsolated powerIn-zone contact Chase rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.2zBarrel rate -1.2z
11 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA 0.55 Whiff rateIn-zone contactAvg exit velocity Sprint speed -1.8zIsolated power -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0z
12 Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA 0.55 Hard-hit rateIn-zone contactSprint speed Max exit velocity -1.7zBat speed -1.3zPull rate +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.