Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Adell, Jo
Middle-order power profile with real damage
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 27
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.324 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.328 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.305
0.316
0.328
0.340
0.351
wOBA
0.292
0.306
0.322
0.337
0.351
ISO
0.147
0.158
0.171
0.184
0.195
K%
21.7%
22.9%
24.2%
25.5%
26.7%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.0%
66
-22 vs proj
Exit velocity89.9
72
Hard-hit%43.8%
71
xBA0.342
71
xSLG0.572
70
xwOBA0.324
67
BB%2.9%
4
-33 vs proj
Bat speed75.3
98
K%23.2%
44
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-3.2 · RF
2
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
41
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Range Runs-3.1 · RF
18
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · RF
46
Sprint Speed28.0 · RF
68
SB Success Rate100.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.5% · rebadged research
19
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.7% · rebadged research
65
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
44
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
47
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.230 · validated thin sample
100
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
87
Resists FastballwOBA 0.376 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.343 · validated
86
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
205 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.014 |
| Sample | 418 PA |
positive regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 546 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 29 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.336 | 0.300 to 0.374 | +/- 0.037 |
| ISO | 0.206 | 0.168 to 0.281 | +/- 0.056 |
| Barrel% | 8.5% | 6.2% to 10.9% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 46.5% | 40.3% to 53.6% | +/- 6.7% |
| K% | 24.4% | 20.7% to 31.2% | +/- 5.3% |
| BB% | 7.5% | 4.7% to 10.3% | +/- 2.8% |
| BABIP | 0.266 | 0.202 to 0.300 | +/- 0.049 |
vs LHP
456 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.289 |
| K% | 18.9% |
| BB% | 6.1% |
| Barrel | 7.4% |
vs RHP
1304 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.269 |
| K% | 22.7% |
| BB% | 5.2% |
| Barrel | 7.5% |