The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Jensen, Carter in signal, the comp in amber.
KC · bats L · 364 PA
Ranked comps for Jensen, Carter
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA | 0.80 | Sweet-spot rateStrikeout ratePull rate | Chase rate +1.1zSwing length +1.1zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.76 | Sprint speedBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1zAvg exit velocity -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 415 PA | 0.71 | Ground-ball rateWalk rateIn-zone contact | Strikeout rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Happ, Ian CHC · L · 416 PA | 0.70 | Hard-hit rateSprint speedSweet-spot rate | Walk rate +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.2zOppo rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA | 0.68 | Bat speedAvg exit velocityOppo rate | Sprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA | 0.65 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contactMax exit velocity | Chase rate +1.9zAvg exit velocity -1.1zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.65 | Whiff rateIsolated powerChase rate | xwOBA on contact +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.4zBarrel rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Langford, Wyatt TEX · R · 208 PA | 0.63 | xwOBA on contactChase rateBarrel rate | Strikeout rate -1.4zWhiff rate -1.3zOppo rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.63 | Sweet-spot rateIn-zone contactBat speed | Ground-ball rate +1.4zSprint speed -1.4zFly-ball rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | McLain, Matt CIN · R · 329 PA | 0.60 | In-zone contactGround-ball rateChase rate | Sweet-spot rate +2.1zMax exit velocity -1.1zAvg exit velocity -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 294 PA | 0.60 | Chase rateIsolated powerPull rate | Bat speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA | 0.60 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Chase rate +1.7zGround-ball rate +1.5zFly-ball rate -1.5z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.