Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CLE · 2026
Bazzana, Travis
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team CLE
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 24
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
37
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.265 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.298 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.288 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.254
0.270
0.288
0.306
0.322
wOBA
0.320
0.333
0.347
0.361
0.374
ISO
0.126
0.141
0.157
0.173
0.188
K%
16.8%
19.0%
21.4%
23.8%
26.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.6%
31
Exit velocity87.4
45
Hard-hit%37.0%
44
xBA0.294
22
xSLG0.452
32
xwOBA0.298
46
BB%10.9%
80
+39 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
20
K%20.7%
62
+27 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.4 · 2B
88
Arm Strength85.3 · 2B
35
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 2B
27
Range Runs-0.8 · 2B
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.3 · 2B
89
Bolts7.0 · 2B
54
SB Success Rate77.3% · 2B
40
Sprint Speed28.3 · 2B
75
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.5% · rebadged research
83
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.1% · rebadged research
62
Correct Decisions70.3% · rebadged research
89
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
84
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
42
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.381 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.376 · validated
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
198 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.000 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| Sample | 521 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 202 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.298 | 0.135 to 0.326 | +/- 0.096 |
| ISO | 0.128 | 0.024 to 0.205 | +/- 0.090 |
| Barrel% | 3.9% | 0.2% to 5.1% | +/- 2.4% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.2% | 13.6% to 38.7% | +/- 12.5% |
| K% | 25.3% | 7.6% to 36.5% | +/- 14.5% |
| BB% | 7.7% | 1.8% to 9.4% | +/- 3.8% |
| BABIP | 0.292 | 0.196 to 0.365 | +/- 0.085 |
vs LHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.4% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
2 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.001 |
| K% | 0.1% |
| BB% | 0.5% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |