The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (204+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Lewis, Royce in signal, the comp in amber.

MIN · bats R · 279 PA

Ranked comps for Lewis, Royce

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA 0.74 Sprint speedHard-hit ratePull rate Max exit velocity -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1zBarrel rate -0.9z
02 Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA 0.74 Max exit velocityIsolated powerSwing length Sprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +0.8z
03 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.72 Pull rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate Isolated power +1.1zWhiff rate -0.9zSwing length -0.9z
04 Soler, Jorge LAA · R · 330 PA 0.72 Max exit velocitySwing lengthHard-hit rate Sprint speed -1.6zIn-zone contact -0.9zStrikeout rate +0.8z
05 Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA 0.72 In-zone contactChase rateMax exit velocity Oppo rate +1.5zSwing length -1.2zPull rate -1.1z
06 Burger, Jake TEX · R · 390 PA 0.69 Strikeout rateWhiff ratexwOBA on contact Ground-ball rate +1.6zSwing length -1.4zHard-hit rate +0.8z
07 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.68 Sweet-spot rateMax exit velocityWhiff rate Sprint speed -1.1zxwOBA on contact +1.1zIsolated power +1.1z
08 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateGround-ball rateOppo rate Sweet-spot rate +1.2zSwing length -1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z
09 Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA 0.67 Pull rateWhiff rateAvg exit velocity Barrel rate -1.3zGround-ball rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate -1.0z
10 Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA 0.66 In-zone contactPull rateSweet-spot rate Swing length -1.7zBarrel rate -1.6zChase rate +0.9z
11 Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 399 PA 0.64 Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rateHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.8zFly-ball rate -1.2zSprint speed +1.2z
12 Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L · 379 PA 0.64 Max exit velocityIsolated powerHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zPull rate +1.5zBarrel rate -1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.