The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Montgomery, Braden in signal, the comp in amber.

CWS · bats L · 360 PA

Ranked comps for Montgomery, Braden

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.55 Pull rateFly-ball rateOppo rate Whiff rate -1.7zSwing length +1.4zIn-zone contact +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Yelich, Christian MIL · L · 516 PA 0.55 Whiff rateOppo rateHard-hit rate Swing length +2.4zBat speed +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Bogaerts, Xander SD · R · 619 PA 0.54 Sweet-spot rateIsolated powerStrikeout rate Swing length +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.3zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Meidroth, Chase CWS · R · 665 PA 0.53 Barrel rateSwing lengthMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.6zWhiff rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Ewing, A.J. NYM · L · 486 PA 0.52 Oppo rateBat speedHard-hit rate Ground-ball rate -2.2zSweet-spot rate +2.0zFly-ball rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 335 PA 0.49 Pull ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zIn-zone contact +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 547 PA 0.48 Oppo ratePull rateWalk rate Ground-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zBat speed +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.44 Max exit velocityxwOBA on contactOppo rate Swing length +2.0zSweet-spot rate +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA 0.43 Oppo rateChase rateMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate -2.0zIn-zone contact +1.8zHard-hit rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 698 PA 0.41 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateSprint speed In-zone contact +1.9zWalk rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.41 Strikeout rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Swing length +2.2zGround-ball rate -1.7zIn-zone contact +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Crawford, Justin PHI · L · 474 PA 0.41 Ground-ball rateMax exit velocityFly-ball rate Whiff rate -2.0zChase rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.