Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range
Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.
Gonzales, Nick
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
percentile
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.307 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.327 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Swing path and decision map
Nick Gonzales's tools (60) outpace production (67) by -7 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Also flagged: Power Efficiency Gap. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.
Field-coordinate spray profile
189 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Projection notes
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.053 |
| Sample | 390 PA |
negative regression
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 454 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 9 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.308 | 0.284 to 0.335 | +/- 0.025 |
| ISO | 0.126 | 0.094 to 0.214 | +/- 0.060 |
| Barrel% | 4.3% | 3.2% to 7.2% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 36.9% | 34.1% to 44.9% | +/- 5.4% |
| K% | 18.7% | 15.9% to 24.9% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 5.2% | 3.9% to 8.2% | +/- 2.2% |
| BABIP | 0.291 | 0.270 to 0.354 | +/- 0.042 |
257 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.255 |
| K% | 16.8% |
| BB% | 4.6% |
| Barrel | 5.5% |
727 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.232 |
| K% | 14.6% |
| BB% | 3.8% |
| Barrel | 3.4% |