The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, Justin in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 474 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, Justin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 489 PA 0.69 Sprint speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Oppo rate +1.4zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z
02 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA 0.61 Isolated powerMax exit velocityStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1z
03 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 463 PA 0.61 Walk rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Sprint speed -2.0zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z
04 Isbel, Kyle KC · L · 334 PA 0.57 Whiff rateBat speedMax exit velocity Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.3z
05 Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA 0.55 Isolated powerAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Ground-ball rate -1.9zChase rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.2z
06 Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA 0.55 Max exit velocityIsolated powerSweet-spot rate Sprint speed -1.9zPull rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.2z
07 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA 0.54 Pull rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.4z
08 Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 373 PA 0.52 In-zone contactBarrel ratexwOBA on contact Chase rate -2.0zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length +1.4z
09 Church, Nathan STL · L · 480 PA 0.48 xwOBA on contactWalk rateBat speed Ground-ball rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.3z
10 Hamilton, David MIL · L · 398 PA 0.46 Isolated powerxwOBA on contactSprint speed Ground-ball rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.4z
11 Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 698 PA 0.46 Walk rateSwing lengthWhiff rate Barrel rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3z
12 Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 335 PA 0.42 In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate Chase rate -2.4zOppo rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.4z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.