The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, Justin in signal, the comp in amber.
PHI · bats L · 474 PA
Ranked comps for Crawford, Justin
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 489 PA | 0.69 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Oppo rate +1.4zChase rate +1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 622 PA | 0.61 | Isolated powerMax exit velocityStrikeout rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.5zGround-ball rate -1.3zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 463 PA | 0.61 | Walk rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -2.0zSwing length -1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Isbel, Kyle KC · L · 334 PA | 0.57 | Whiff rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Sprint speed -1.7zGround-ball rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Cronenworth, Jake SD · L · 436 PA | 0.55 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity | Ground-ball rate -1.9zChase rate -1.5zSprint speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Rengifo, Luis MIL · L · 374 PA | 0.55 | Max exit velocityIsolated powerSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed -1.9zPull rate +1.4zWalk rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 435 PA | 0.54 | Pull rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate -1.5zSwing length +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Triolo, Jared PIT · R · 373 PA | 0.52 | In-zone contactBarrel ratexwOBA on contact | Chase rate -2.0zGround-ball rate -1.4zSwing length +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Church, Nathan STL · L · 480 PA | 0.48 | xwOBA on contactWalk rateBat speed | Ground-ball rate -2.5zSweet-spot rate +1.6zFly-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Hamilton, David MIL · L · 398 PA | 0.46 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contactSprint speed | Ground-ball rate -1.8zAvg exit velocity -1.8zFly-ball rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lopez, Otto MIA · R · 698 PA | 0.46 | Walk rateSwing lengthWhiff rate | Barrel rate +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Meckler, Wade LAA · L · 335 PA | 0.42 | In-zone contactAvg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Chase rate -2.4zOppo rate -1.9zWalk rate +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.