The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crawford, Justin in signal, the comp in amber.

PHI · bats L · 304 PA

Ranked comps for Crawford, Justin

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Williamson, Ben TB · R · 239 PA 0.70 Max exit velocitySwing lengthIsolated power Chase rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.0zWalk rate +0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Gonzales, Nick PIT · R · 390 PA 0.66 Max exit velocityIsolated powerIn-zone contact Pull rate +1.7zSwing length +1.3zChase rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Osuna, Alejandro TEX · L · 207 PA 0.62 Barrel rateFly-ball rateSwing length Strikeout rate -1.3zChase rate -1.3zBat speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Lukes, Nathan TOR · L · 236 PA 0.59 xwOBA on contactBarrel rateWhiff rate Sprint speed -2.1zSwing length -1.1zStrikeout rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Freeman, Tyler COL · R · 255 PA 0.58 Bat speedAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate Chase rate -1.6zSprint speed -1.4zStrikeout rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mangum, Jake PIT · L · 269 PA 0.57 Pull ratexwOBA on contactSprint speed Max exit velocity -1.6zSweet-spot rate -1.3zChase rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Ortiz, Joey MIL · R · 261 PA 0.55 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactWhiff rate Chase rate -1.6zBat speed +1.5zSwing length +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Church, Nathan STL · L · 270 PA 0.53 Strikeout rateWalk ratexwOBA on contact Barrel rate +1.9zOppo rate -1.6zPull rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Winn, Masyn STL · R · 374 PA 0.51 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateIsolated power Chase rate -2.4zGround-ball rate -1.8zSwing length +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Giménez, Andrés TOR · L · 324 PA 0.51 Swing lengthAvg exit velocityMax exit velocity Pull rate +2.0zSprint speed -1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Hamilton, David MIL · L · 256 PA 0.50 Swing lengthSprint speedStrikeout rate Avg exit velocity -2.0zFly-ball rate +1.9zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R · 390 PA 0.49 Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contactStrikeout rate Ground-ball rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate +1.7zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.