Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Projection leans more on broad offensive balance than one extreme carrying trait.
Hitter projection / CWS · 2026
Meidroth, Chase
Everyday offensive profile with usable floor
Team CWS
Archetype Ground-ball contact
Age 25
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.288 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.298 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.285
0.298
0.310
0.322
wOBA
0.334
0.349
0.364
0.380
0.395
ISO
0.098
0.109
0.122
0.134
0.145
K%
18.4%
19.5%
20.7%
21.9%
23.0%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.9%
21
Exit velocity86.6
30
Hard-hit%36.2%
36
xBA0.320
48
xSLG0.447
27
xwOBA0.288
29
-17 vs proj
BB%9.4%
60
Bat speed64.4
5
K%23.4%
43
-44 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · 2B
34
Arm Strength81.6 · 2B
13
Outs Above Avg3.0 · 2B
85
Range Runs2.1 · 2B
73
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.8 · 2B
65
Sprint Speed27.2 · 2B
44
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.4% · rebadged research
81
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.6% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline
42
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
57
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.293 · validated thin sample
19
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
39
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.355 · validated
64
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
197 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | -0.017 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.059 |
| Sample | 415 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 464 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 8 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.305 | 0.265 to 0.353 | +/- 0.044 |
| ISO | 0.090 | 0.059 to 0.168 | +/- 0.055 |
| Barrel% | 2.1% | 0.7% to 4.7% | +/- 2.0% |
| Hard-Hit% | 38.4% | 29.4% to 45.0% | +/- 7.8% |
| K% | 14.6% | 12.7% to 21.7% | +/- 4.5% |
| BB% | 8.5% | 5.7% to 11.4% | +/- 2.9% |
| BABIP | 0.299 | 0.261 to 0.342 | +/- 0.041 |
vs LHP
159 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.220 |
| K% | 10.6% |
| BB% | 7.0% |
| Barrel | 1.2% |
vs RHP
372 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.208 |
| K% | 9.6% |
| BB% | 6.3% |
| Barrel | 1.0% |