Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 192 lb |
| Debut | 2023-04-27 |
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers
Joey Ortiz
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 192 lb · Age 27
Club Milwaukee Brewers
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 511 | 58 | 105 | 11 | 11 | .239 | .329 | .398 | .727 |
| 2025 | 506 | 62 | 108 | 7 | 14 | .230 | .276 | .317 | .593 |
| 2026 | 170 | 18 | 30 | 1 | 5 | .207 | .299 | .262 | .561 |
| 4 Seasons | 1221 | 142 | 250 | 19 | 30 | .230 | .299 | .340 | .639 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
18
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.297 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.298 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.297 |
| Observed weight | 46% |
xwOBA
0.270
0.283
0.297
0.311
0.324
wOBA
0.276
0.297
0.320
0.343
0.364
ISO
0.065
0.081
0.098
0.115
0.131
K%
14.4%
15.8%
17.4%
18.9%
20.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
14
Exit velocity84.8
15
Hard-hit%31.3%
18
xBA0.284
18
xSLG0.370
8
xwOBA0.298
39
BB%12.3%
83
+47 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
52
K%16.6%
81
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · SS
12
Arm Strength86.3 · SS
54
Outs Above Avg6.0 · SS
97
Range Runs4.5 · SS
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · SS
18
Bolts1.0 · SS
17
SB Success Rate57.1% · SS
5
Sprint Speed28.5 · SS
83
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.4% · rebadged research
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.8% · rebadged research
14
Correct Decisions62.8% · rebadged research
19
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.272 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.272 · insufficient sample
73
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample
37
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
99
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.342 · validated
87
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
37
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
111 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.004 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.026 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Ortiz’s wOBA sits at 0.320, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.298 — a gap of 0.022, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 187 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2025-10-11 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 10 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | R |
| 2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | K, SB |
| 2026-04-14 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |