Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
None
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.238 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.353 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.253 |
| Observed weight | 13% |
xwOBA
0.178
0.213
0.253
0.292
0.327
wOBA
0.265
0.316
0.372
0.429
0.480
ISO
0.024
0.066
0.112
0.159
0.201
K%
14.2%
19.8%
26.1%
32.4%
38.1%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · LF
Limited
Outs Above Avg0.5 · LF · small sample regression applied
73
Regression applied
Range Runs0.9 · LF
Limited
Baserunning · percentile strip
Bolts2.0 · LF
Limited
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
Limited
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.6% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions72.9% · rebadged research
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
53
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
36
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.342 · insufficient sample
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Rolling form chart
xwOBA allowed snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
No chart yet
No Live State xwOBA snapshots are available for this player.
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
18 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
No Live State delta is available for this player yet.
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 207 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.253 | 0.131 to 0.300 | +/- 0.084 |
| ISO | 0.111 | 0.020 to 0.222 | +/- 0.101 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.5% | 11.9% to 40.5% | +/- 14.3% |
| K% | 33.6% | 13.7% to 41.1% | +/- 13.7% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 2.4% to 11.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.140 to 0.359 | +/- 0.109 |
vs LHP
14 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.033 |
| K% | 6.6% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
70 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.036 |
| K% | 6.5% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |