Model read
Projection notes
1
templated note
Home park adds a small power tailwind to the HR projection.
Hitter projection / LAA · 2026
Meckler, Wade
Young power bat with breakout ceiling
Team LAA
Archetype Impact slugger
Age 26
Status Healthy / active roster
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
38
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.238 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.315 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.285 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.246
0.264
0.285
0.305
0.323
wOBA
0.326
0.342
0.360
0.377
0.393
ISO
0.050
0.070
0.092
0.114
0.133
K%
16.6%
19.2%
22.2%
25.2%
27.9%
Current percentile strip
Actual percentile with projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
13
Exit velocity85.1
20
Hard-hit%33.3%
28
xBA0.333
69
xSLG0.455
33
xwOBA0.315
64
+53 vs proj
BB%9.7%
66
+18 vs proj
Bat speed66.1
12
K%18.3%
76
+70 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · LF
32
Arm Strength93.8 · LF
53
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
50
Range Runs1.5 · LF
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.8 · LF
76
Bolts30.0 · LF
81
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
94
Sprint Speed28.8 · LF
86
Mithrandir+
SEAGER+ and decision components
SEAGER+ is the promoted plate-discipline index; component rows marked rebadged research are visible diagnostic context, not standalone promoted metrics.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.6% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.2% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions70.0% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
27
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.306 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.350 · insufficient sample
11
Resists FastballwOBA 0.362 · validated
16
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.340 · validated
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
84
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
135 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
All BIP
Singles
Doubles
Triples
HR
vs LHP
vs RHP
Home / Away
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
No bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
No bat tracking
No Savant bat-tracking aggregate is available for this hitter.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live context
Current-season signal
| xwOBA Δ | +0.062 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.107 |
| Sample | 339 PA |
negative regression
Projection table
Point projection and range
| Metric | Point | Range | Half-width |
|---|---|---|---|
| Plate Appearances | 207 | -- | -- |
| Home Runs | 6 | -- | -- |
| Stolen Bases | 0 | -- | -- |
| xwOBA | 0.253 | 0.131 to 0.300 | +/- 0.084 |
| ISO | 0.111 | 0.021 to 0.222 | +/- 0.101 |
| Barrel% | 3.1% | 0.2% to 5.6% | +/- 2.7% |
| Hard-Hit% | 28.5% | 11.9% to 40.5% | +/- 14.3% |
| K% | 33.6% | 13.7% to 41.1% | +/- 13.7% |
| BB% | 8.2% | 2.4% to 11.2% | +/- 4.4% |
| BABIP | 0.296 | 0.140 to 0.359 | +/- 0.109 |
vs LHP
14 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.033 |
| K% | 6.6% |
| BB% | 1.7% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |
vs RHP
70 career PA
| xwOBA | 0.036 |
| K% | 6.5% |
| BB% | 2.0% |
| Barrel | 0.0% |