Mithrandir Metrics
Player Philadelphia Phillies Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies

Justin Crawford

CF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 188 lb · Age 22

Cards
0
Modules
0
Live Δ
yes
Club Philadelphia Phillies Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026211184528.231.289.328.617
1 Seasons211184528.231.289.328.617
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
17
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
22
Defense4 metrics
30
Speed4 metrics
67
Plate skills10 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
xwOBA preseason0.272
xwOBA current pace0.263
xwOBA rolling p500.268
Observed weight51%
xwOBA
0.211 0.238 0.268 0.297 0.324
wOBA
0.269 0.287 0.308 0.329 0.347
ISO
0.071 0.090 0.113 0.135 0.155
K%
14.2% 17.5% 21.2% 24.9% 28.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%0.9%
4 -31 vs proj
Exit velocity86.2
26
Hard-hit%34.8%
28
xBA0.295
23
xSLG0.375
7
xwOBA0.263
13 -27 vs proj
BB%6.6%
26
Bat speed66.5
15
K%21.2%
55 +21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · CF
76
Arm Strength85.9 · CF
7
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · CF
9
Range Runs-1.8 · CF
26
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · CF
49
Bolts35.0 · CF
96
SB Success Rate71.4% · CF
25
Sprint Speed29.6 · CF
96
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-06-14
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.3% · rebadged research
29
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.6% · rebadged research
20
Correct Decisions63.6% · rebadged research
26
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.289 · borderline
39
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
80
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.315 · insufficient sample
89
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
35
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
71
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline94
17
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Crawford, Justin · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.263 2026-06-03: 0.2712026-06-04: 0.2702026-06-05: 0.2702026-06-06: 0.2702026-06-07: 0.2702026-06-08: 0.2722026-06-09: 0.2722026-06-10: 0.2712026-06-11: 0.2702026-06-12: 0.2672026-06-13: 0.2672026-06-14: 0.263 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

147 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Crawford, Justin · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 78% of plotted batted ballsCenter 78%Right field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsOppo 10% LF 329 CF 401 RF 330 2026-03-16 · double play · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.1 / LA 41.02026-03-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -22.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -29.02026-03-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 99.8 / LA 11.02026-03-19 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 8.02026-03-19 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 35.8 / LA -28.02026-03-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -16.02026-03-20 · triple · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA 7.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 109.2 / LA -32.02026-03-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -30.02026-03-23 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -13.02026-03-26 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 5.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.9 / LA 72.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 87.2 / LA 25.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA 9.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA -7.02026-03-29 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 48.4 / LA -45.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 47.0 / LA 86.02026-03-31 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 10.02026-03-31 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -7.02026-04-01 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 76.1 / LA -61.02026-04-01 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.6 / LA 26.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -20.02026-04-01 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.9 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.3 / LA -12.02026-04-03 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.7 / LA -20.02026-04-03 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.3 / LA 4.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA -1.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 0.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.7 / LA -16.02026-04-04 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -5.02026-04-05 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 1.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -11.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -33.02026-04-06 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 11.02026-04-06 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 6.02026-04-07 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 82.2 / LA 19.02026-04-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 65.7 / LA -42.02026-04-08 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA -24.02026-04-10 · triple · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 26.02026-04-11 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 2.02026-04-11 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 68.9 / LA 52.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA 5.02026-04-12 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 22.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA -72.02026-04-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -19.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 83.4 / LA -39.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.8 / LA 19.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 27.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 70.9 / LA -48.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 7.02026-04-17 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 17.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -54.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 34.02026-04-19 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 12.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -4.02026-04-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 99.2 / LA 20.02026-04-20 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 92.8 / LA 23.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.2 / LA -38.02026-04-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 65.2 / LA -53.02026-04-22 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -4.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -24.02026-04-23 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 62.7 / LA -12.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA 3.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 8.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.2 / LA 32.02026-04-24 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 1.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.9 / LA -37.02026-04-24 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 27.02026-04-25 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 101.6 / LA 15.02026-04-25 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 18.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.3 / LA 31.02026-04-28 · field out · FS · popup · EV 77.1 / LA 63.02026-04-28 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 79.1 / LA 15.02026-04-30 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.8 / LA -6.02026-04-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 19.9 / LA 6.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA -20.02026-04-30 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 72.7 / LA 21.02026-04-30 · field out · KC · ground_ball · EV 86.9 / LA -8.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 79.4 / LA 31.02026-04-30 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 27.02026-04-30 · triple · SI · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 36.02026-05-01 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 20.02026-05-01 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 79.5 / LA -1.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 5.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 27.02026-05-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.3 / LA 11.02026-05-03 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -55.02026-05-03 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 92.8 / LA 18.02026-05-04 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 8.02026-05-05 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.1 / LA -20.02026-05-05 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 19.02026-05-05 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA -38.02026-05-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.1 / LA -81.02026-05-07 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 2.02026-05-07 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA -3.02026-05-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -11.02026-05-08 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 35.02026-05-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 50.3 / LA -59.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 44.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -37.02026-05-10 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA -55.02026-05-13 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 25.02026-05-13 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 79.9 / LA 2.02026-05-14 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -1.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -2.02026-05-15 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 99.6 / LA 10.02026-05-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.0 / LA 9.02026-05-15 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 36.02026-05-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 41.7 / LA -5.02026-05-16 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.8 / LA -17.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 52.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -16.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 19.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -4.02026-05-17 · field out · CU · popup · EV 68.5 / LA 72.02026-05-18 · double play · CU · line_drive · EV 82.6 / LA 8.02026-05-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.5 / LA -76.02026-05-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA -25.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -24.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 55.3 / LA -58.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · popup · EV 56.8 / LA 75.02026-05-22 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -7.02026-05-22 · grounded into double play · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -16.02026-05-23 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 75.6 / LA -21.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · popup · EV 88.6 / LA 66.02026-05-23 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 81.5 / LA -34.02026-05-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.8 / LA -3.02026-05-24 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 0.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 43.5 / LA -35.02026-05-25 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 45.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 41.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -2.02026-05-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.7 / LA -26.02026-05-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 79.8 / LA 60.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -14.02026-05-27 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 80.7 / LA 9.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 50.02026-05-31 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 6.02026-05-31 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 88.9 / LA 20.02026-05-31 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 91.4 / LA -38.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.5 / LA -30.02026-06-04 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 76.5 / LA 18.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 38.02026-06-07 · double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA -6.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 67.8 / LA 37.02026-06-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.3 / LA 13.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Crawford, Justin · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 38%38%Whiff: 17%17%Zone contact: 88%88%Contact: 83%83%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Crawford, Justin · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 68.4 mph Hard swing rate 4% Whiff / swing 20% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age22
Height6' 2"
Weight188 lb
Debut2026-03-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.037
wOBA Δ+0.008

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.308
xwOBA (deserved)0.263

Crawford’s wOBA sits at 0.308, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.263 — a gap of 0.045, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 226 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.300 xwOBA | 7 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | K
2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2B, 2 BB, RBI
2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-2 | HBP
2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K