The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Olson, Matt in signal, the comp in amber.
ATL · bats L · 435 PA
Ranked comps for Olson, Matt
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA | 0.69 | Walk rateOppo rateSwing length | In-zone contact -1.8zWhiff rate +1.0zBat speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA | 0.68 | Chase rateHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Isolated power -1.5zWalk rate +1.3zBarrel rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedChase rateSprint speed | Max exit velocity +1.0zIsolated power -1.0zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Pederson, Joc TEX · L · 311 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateStrikeout rateOppo rate | Whiff rate +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.2zBat speed -1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contactIsolated power | Walk rate +1.4zSprint speed +1.2zMax exit velocity +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Greene, Riley DET · L · 423 PA | 0.61 | Oppo rateGround-ball ratePull rate | Isolated power -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA | 0.60 | Sweet-spot ratePull rateBat speed | Fly-ball rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.2zBarrel rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA | 0.58 | In-zone contactOppo rateStrikeout rate | Sprint speed +1.8zMax exit velocity -1.2zBat speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Canzone, Dominic SEA · L · 268 PA | 0.58 | Isolated powerBat speedxwOBA on contact | Fly-ball rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.4zGround-ball rate +1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.58 | In-zone contactSweet-spot rateStrikeout rate | xwOBA on contact -1.5zAvg exit velocity -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.3z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA | 0.57 | xwOBA on contactChase rateWalk rate | Whiff rate +1.8zIn-zone contact -1.3zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Burleson, Alec STL · L · 415 PA | 0.56 | Swing lengthMax exit velocityWhiff rate | Isolated power -1.5zStrikeout rate -1.4zPull rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.