The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Pederson, Joc in signal, the comp in amber.

TEX · bats L · 311 PA

Ranked comps for Pederson, Joc

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Devers, Rafael SF · L · 415 PA 0.80 Isolated powerOppo rateChase rate Fly-ball rate +1.1zIn-zone contact -0.9zSprint speed +0.8z
02 Machado, Manny SD · R · 401 PA 0.78 Ground-ball rateFly-ball ratePull rate Swing length +1.1zBat speed +1.1zHard-hit rate -0.8z
03 Seager, Corey TEX · L · 236 PA 0.72 Sprint speedAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact Swing length -1.7zPull rate +1.3zBarrel rate +1.0z
04 Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA 0.71 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerSwing length Walk rate -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0zxwOBA on contact -1.0z
05 McMahon, Ryan NYY · L · 245 PA 0.70 Whiff rateGround-ball ratePull rate Walk rate -1.4zStrikeout rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.2z
06 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA 0.69 Walk rateGround-ball rateStrikeout rate Max exit velocity +1.4zBat speed +1.2zxwOBA on contact +1.0z
07 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.68 Swing lengthSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity In-zone contact +1.3zWhiff rate -1.0zMax exit velocity +1.0z
08 Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R · 395 PA 0.67 Isolated powerSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity Pull rate +1.2zSwing length +1.2zStrikeout rate +1.0z
09 Basallo, Samuel BAL · L · 317 PA 0.66 Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocitySprint speed Chase rate +1.7zPull rate +1.2zBat speed +1.0z
10 France, Ty SD · R · 249 PA 0.66 Sprint speedSwing lengthBat speed Walk rate -2.1zSweet-spot rate +1.1zIn-zone contact +0.8z
11 Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA 0.66 In-zone contactBarrel rateIsolated power Sprint speed +1.8zGround-ball rate -1.2zSweet-spot rate +1.1z
12 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA 0.65 Pull rateStrikeout rateOppo rate Whiff rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2zBat speed +1.2z

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.