Mithrandir Metrics
Player San Diego Padres Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / San Diego Padres

Ty France

1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 215 lb · Age 32

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club San Diego Padres Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202453546112131.234.305.365.670
20254905011471.257.320.360.680
20262292455111.267.325.490.815
8 Seasons3538388831924.263.334.406.740
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
73
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
62
Defense3 metrics
61
Speed1 metrics
4
Plate skills10 metrics
44
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.319
xwOBA current pace0.322
xwOBA rolling p500.321
Observed weight53%
xwOBA
0.295 0.307 0.321 0.334 0.346
wOBA
0.348 0.367 0.387 0.408 0.427
ISO
0.158 0.173 0.190 0.207 0.223
K%
18.6% 19.9% 21.3% 22.7% 24.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.6%
84 +37 vs proj
Exit velocity91.0
86
Hard-hit%45.6%
79 +21 vs proj
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.583
72
xwOBA0.322
65
BB%5.2%
15
Bat speed70.1
55
K%22.5%
49 -21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength77.2 · 1B
1
Outs Above Avg6.0 · 1B
93
Range Runs4.7 · 1B
88
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed24.9 · 1B
4
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.6% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
63
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.311 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.311 · validated thin sample
5
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
74
Resists FastballwOBA 0.352 · validated
25
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA France, Ty · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.322 2026-07-05: 0.3202026-07-06: 0.3152026-07-07: 0.3102026-07-08: 0.3062026-07-09: 0.3062026-07-10: 0.3062026-07-11: 0.3062026-07-12: 0.3062026-07-13: 0.3132026-07-14: 0.3222026-07-15: 0.3222026-07-16: 0.322 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

112 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart France, Ty · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsPull 19%Center field third: 66% of plotted batted ballsCenter 66%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 334 CF 396 RF 322 2026-03-16 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 32.02026-03-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.5 / LA 3.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 56.1 / LA 60.02026-03-17 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 28.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 56.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · popup · EV 80.1 / LA 64.02026-03-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 23.02026-03-20 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 89.5 / LA 45.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 75.8 / LA 13.02026-03-20 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA -11.02026-03-20 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.0 / LA -9.02026-03-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 52.02026-03-21 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 106.0 / LA 9.02026-03-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 62.2 / LA -20.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 40.02026-03-27 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA -29.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.1 / LA -5.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 29.02026-04-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.1 / LA -23.02026-04-04 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 23.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 50.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA -40.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 5.02026-04-09 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 81.2 / LA 13.02026-04-12 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 7.02026-04-12 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 31.02026-04-12 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 7.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · popup · EV 75.7 / LA 65.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.2 / LA -20.02026-04-14 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 81.0 / LA 7.02026-04-14 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 5.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · ground_ball2026-04-15 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 89.5 / LA 21.02026-04-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA -70.02026-04-17 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 71.6 / LA 21.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 46.2 / LA -40.02026-04-18 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 77.3 / LA -13.02026-04-23 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -28.02026-04-23 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -1.02026-04-23 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 16.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 82.4 / LA 23.02026-04-25 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 32.02026-04-25 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA -20.02026-04-25 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.9 / LA 29.02026-04-27 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -5.02026-04-27 · triple · CU · ground_ball · EV 89.9 / LA -16.02026-04-27 · double · CH · fly_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 22.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 102.2 / LA -6.02026-04-28 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 30.02026-04-28 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 4.02026-04-28 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 3.02026-04-29 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 46.02026-04-29 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 50.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.9 / LA -10.02026-04-29 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 106.4 / LA 18.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -1.02026-05-01 · field out · ST · popup · EV 70.4 / LA 77.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 44.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.7 / LA 4.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 55.8 / LA 11.02026-05-03 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 94.2 / LA 15.02026-05-03 · single · ST · fly_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 46.02026-05-06 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 81.3 / LA 31.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 76.4 / LA -9.02026-05-07 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -21.02026-05-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.8 / LA -8.02026-05-09 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.6 / LA -9.02026-05-09 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 23.02026-05-10 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 21.02026-05-10 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 3.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 79.6 / LA 15.02026-05-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.0 / LA 17.02026-05-17 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 99.4 / LA 9.02026-05-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -19.02026-05-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 23.02026-05-19 · field out · FF · popup · EV 73.9 / LA 71.02026-05-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 29.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -20.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -32.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 73.8 / LA 69.02026-05-24 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.6 / LA -5.02026-05-24 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.6 / LA 29.02026-05-25 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA -5.02026-05-25 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.3 / LA 0.02026-05-31 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 13.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 29.02026-05-31 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 79.8 / LA -30.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 49.8 / LA 4.02026-06-05 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 84.8 / LA 21.02026-06-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 25.02026-06-05 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 13.02026-06-07 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -12.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 91.5 / LA 32.02026-06-15 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 29.02026-06-20 · field out · SL · popup · EV 88.9 / LA 76.02026-06-20 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 26.02026-06-20 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.8 / LA -2.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · popup · EV 84.9 / LA 66.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 77.4 / LA 58.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 9.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -16.02026-06-24 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 107.7 / LA 31.02026-06-24 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 22.02026-06-24 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 18.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 57.7 / LA 16.02026-06-26 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 30.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 25.02026-06-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.9 / LA -9.02026-06-30 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.3 / LA 14.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 10.02026-07-01 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 89.8 / LA 18.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile France, Ty · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age32
Height5' 10"
Weight215 lb
Debut2019-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.008
wOBA Δ+0.073

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.1σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.387
xwOBA (deserved)0.322

France’s wOBA sits at 0.387, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.065, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 249 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

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O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L 0.67 xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-07-12Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.314 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-3
2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, R
2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E1-4
2026-04-12 vs COL1 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E3-3 | HR, 2B, HBP
2026-04-09 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB