The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Merrill, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats L · 410 PA
Ranked comps for Merrill, Jackson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 271 PA | 0.83 | Bat speedIn-zone contactOppo rate | Barrel rate -1.0zHard-hit rate -0.8zSweet-spot rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Peña, Jeremy HOU · R · 217 PA | 0.75 | Walk rateSprint speedxwOBA on contact | Strikeout rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2zOppo rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Duran, Ezequiel TEX · R · 339 PA | 0.72 | Sprint speedWalk rateWhiff rate | Swing length -1.2zHard-hit rate -1.0zFly-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA | 0.71 | Pull rateMax exit velocityBarrel rate | Fly-ball rate +1.3zHard-hit rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Turner, Trea PHI · R · 436 PA | 0.70 | Max exit velocityChase rateAvg exit velocity | Pull rate -1.8zSweet-spot rate -0.9zGround-ball rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 404 PA | 0.70 | Swing lengthIsolated powerBarrel rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.1zSprint speed -0.9zFly-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 345 PA | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateBarrel rate | Sprint speed -1.6zChase rate -1.2zWalk rate +0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 341 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerBat speedChase rate | Max exit velocity +1.5zFly-ball rate +1.0zGround-ball rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA | 0.68 | Max exit velocityBarrel rateFly-ball rate | Pull rate -1.6zIn-zone contact +1.2zIsolated power +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Steer, Spencer CIN · R · 378 PA | 0.67 | Max exit velocityHard-hit rateSprint speed | Chase rate -1.7zIsolated power +1.0zBarrel rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Varsho, Daulton TOR · L · 328 PA | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateChase rateBat speed | Sprint speed -1.3zOppo rate -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateWhiff rateBarrel rate | Isolated power +1.9zGround-ball rate -1.0zSweet-spot rate -0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.