The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Schmitt, Casey in signal, the comp in amber.

SF · bats R · 385 PA

Ranked comps for Schmitt, Casey

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 381 PA 0.78 Bat speedSweet-spot rateWhiff rate Isolated power +1.0zWalk rate +0.9zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 382 PA 0.60 Sprint speedHard-hit rateAvg exit velocity Ground-ball rate +1.6zFly-ball rate -1.3zSweet-spot rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 415 PA 0.59 Sprint speedPull rateAvg exit velocity Walk rate +2.1zIn-zone contact -1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateOppo rateWhiff rate Walk rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 426 PA 0.56 Whiff rateSwing lengthOppo rate xwOBA on contact -1.3zBarrel rate -1.3zHard-hit rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 415 PA 0.53 Avg exit velocityBat speedChase rate Walk rate +1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.7zPull rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
07 O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 359 PA 0.53 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rateOppo rate Ground-ball rate +1.6zWalk rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 403 PA 0.51 Pull rateBarrel rateBat speed Walk rate +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 296 PA 0.51 Oppo rateBarrel rateIn-zone contact Ground-ball rate +2.2zSweet-spot rate -2.2zWalk rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA 0.51 Barrel rateFly-ball rateBat speed Pull rate +1.5zMax exit velocity -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 399 PA 0.50 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate Max exit velocity +1.7zWalk rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Adell, Jo LAA · R · 418 PA 0.48 Avg exit velocitySprint speedWalk rate Bat speed +1.6zGround-ball rate +1.5zSweet-spot rate -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.