Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2023-05-09 |
Player profile / San Francisco Giants
Casey Schmitt
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 27
Club San Francisco Giants
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 113 | 11 | 27 | 6 | 0 | .252 | .283 | .477 | .760 |
| 2025 | 348 | 34 | 74 | 12 | 0 | .237 | .305 | .401 | .706 |
| 2026 | 372 | 42 | 98 | 19 | 7 | .278 | .306 | .494 | .800 |
| 4 Seasons | 1110 | 115 | 251 | 42 | 9 | .245 | .291 | .422 | .713 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
84
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.313 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.361 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.343 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.319
0.331
0.343
0.356
0.367
wOBA
0.328
0.343
0.359
0.376
0.391
ISO
0.168
0.183
0.199
0.216
0.231
K%
18.2%
19.3%
20.4%
21.6%
22.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.1%
91
+37 vs proj
Exit velocity90.0
74
Hard-hit%44.7%
75
+21 vs proj
xBA0.368
88
xSLG0.655
88
xwOBA0.361
89
+38 vs proj
BB%3.1%
5
-16 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
62
K%19.0%
70
+29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
46
Arm Strength89.5 · LF
19
Outs Above Avg0.0 · LF
46
Range Runs1.7 · LF
72
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · LF
44
SB Success Rate85.7% · LF
67
Sprint Speed28.1 · LF
70
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.5% · rebadged research
35
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.5% · rebadged research
58
Correct Decisions67.1% · rebadged research
60
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
39
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.306 · borderline
16
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample
24
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.345 · validated thin sample
0
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.372 · insufficient sample
4
Resists FastballwOBA 0.324 · validated
78
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
74
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
192 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.051 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Schmitt’s wOBA sits at 0.359, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.361 — a gap of 0.001, 0.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 385 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dingler, Dillon DET · R | 0.78 | Bat speedSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Marsh, Brandon PHI · L | 0.60 | Sprint speedHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L | 0.59 | Sprint speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Pages, Andy LAD · R | 0.58 | Strikeout rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-07-09 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.309 xwOBA | 12 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ AZ1 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ WSH1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-14 @ CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | HBP, K |
| 2026-04-12 @ BAL1 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | HR, RBI, 2 R |