The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 264 qualified hitters (202+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Abrams, CJ in signal, the comp in amber.
WSH · bats L · 415 PA
Ranked comps for Abrams, CJ
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Rushing, Dalton LAD · L · 224 PA | 0.73 | Bat speedIsolated powerGround-ball rate | In-zone contact -1.1zSweet-spot rate +1.0zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Lewis, Royce MIN · R · 279 PA | 0.72 | Pull rateFly-ball rateGround-ball rate | Isolated power -1.1zWhiff rate +0.9zSwing length +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Adames, Willy SF · R · 396 PA | 0.72 | Bat speedPull rateGround-ball rate | Swing length +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zSweet-spot rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Clemens, Kody MIN · L · 350 PA | 0.71 | Pull rateStrikeout ratexwOBA on contact | Swing length -1.2zBarrel rate +1.0zMax exit velocity -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L · 454 PA | 0.68 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedWalk rate | Ground-ball rate +1.7zIsolated power -0.9zSweet-spot rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Pages, Andy LAD · R · 432 PA | 0.68 | Bat speedWalk ratexwOBA on contact | Pull rate -2.2zIn-zone contact +0.8zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Bell, Josh MIN · L · 394 PA | 0.68 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateOppo rate | Sprint speed -1.8zIsolated power -1.1zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Walker, Christian HOU · R · 413 PA | 0.67 | Hard-hit rateIsolated powerWhiff rate | Sprint speed -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.3zChase rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R · 343 PA | 0.67 | Bat speedGround-ball rateFly-ball rate | Chase rate -2.0zSwing length -1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Crow-Armstrong, Pete CHC · L · 426 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateBarrel rateIsolated power | Max exit velocity +1.3zWalk rate +0.9zxwOBA on contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 410 PA | 0.67 | Chase rateWhiff rateBarrel rate | Isolated power -1.9zGround-ball rate +1.0zSweet-spot rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Swanson, Dansby CHC · R · 375 PA | 0.66 | Avg exit velocitySprint speedSwing length | Chase rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate -1.2zIn-zone contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.