The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Merrill, Jackson in signal, the comp in amber.
SD · bats L · 678 PA
Ranked comps for Merrill, Jackson
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 640 PA | 0.70 | Oppo rateFly-ball rateSwing length | Strikeout rate +1.2zSweet-spot rate -1.2zChase rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Schmitt, Casey SF · R · 424 PA | 0.70 | Swing lengthMax exit velocitySweet-spot rate | In-zone contact +1.4zGround-ball rate -1.0zWalk rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Langeliers, Shea ATH · R · 473 PA | 0.68 | In-zone contactOppo ratexwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity +1.7zChase rate -0.8zBat speed +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Abrams, CJ WSH · L · 667 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contactGround-ball rate | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zIsolated power +1.0zHard-hit rate -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Crews, Dylan WSH · R · 445 PA | 0.67 | Strikeout rateBat speedMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.3zPull rate -1.1zxwOBA on contact -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Dingler, Dillon DET · R · 623 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rateSwing length | In-zone contact +1.5zSprint speed -1.3zWhiff rate -0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Chourio, Jackson MIL · R · 578 PA | 0.65 | Strikeout rateBarrel rateSprint speed | Pull rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate -1.7zGround-ball rate +1.2z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L · 692 PA | 0.63 | Barrel rateMax exit velocityIn-zone contact | Walk rate +1.5zChase rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Marsh, Brandon PHI · L · 579 PA | 0.63 | Pull rateWalk rateOppo rate | Barrel rate -1.2zxwOBA on contact -1.1zIn-zone contact +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Lile, Daylen WSH · L · 672 PA | 0.62 | Isolated powerWalk rateSwing length | Fly-ball rate +1.4zHard-hit rate -1.3zxwOBA on contact -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 505 PA | 0.62 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate -1.2zPull rate -1.2zChase rate -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 666 PA | 0.60 | Strikeout rateHard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Chase rate -1.5zSwing length -1.2zSweet-spot rate -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.