The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (210+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Collins, Isaac in signal, the comp in amber.

KC · bats L · 335 PA

Ranked comps for Collins, Isaac

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Marsee, Jakob MIA · L · 404 PA 0.79 Max exit velocitySweet-spot ratePull rate Bat speed -1.1zHard-hit rate -0.8zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Bregman, Alex CHC · R · 450 PA 0.71 Barrel rateGround-ball rateIn-zone contact Sprint speed -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.1zOppo rate -0.9z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Carter, Evan TEX · L · 284 PA 0.68 Chase rateOppo rateBarrel rate In-zone contact -1.1zSprint speed +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Bazzana, Travis CLE · L · 303 PA 0.68 Barrel rateWalk rateOppo rate Isolated power +1.3zIn-zone contact -1.1zBat speed -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Garcia, Maikel KC · R · 304 PA 0.64 Barrel ratexwOBA on contactBat speed Fly-ball rate -1.2zStrikeout rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
06 McGonigle, Kevin DET · L · 444 PA 0.64 Oppo rateIn-zone contactChase rate Strikeout rate -1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.3zFly-ball rate +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 404 PA 0.63 Hard-hit rateGround-ball rateWhiff rate Swing length +1.4zSweet-spot rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Springer, George TOR · R · 320 PA 0.62 Hard-hit rateBat speedFly-ball rate Swing length +1.7zIsolated power +1.4zOppo rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Kelly, Carson CHC · R · 271 PA 0.61 xwOBA on contactHard-hit rateWhiff rate Pull rate -1.4zSprint speed -1.4zGround-ball rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Chapman, Matt SF · R · 364 PA 0.61 Strikeout rateWhiff ratePull rate Swing length +1.5zBat speed +1.3zFly-ball rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 297 PA 0.60 Bat speedChase rateStrikeout rate Sweet-spot rate +1.4zOppo rate -1.4zSprint speed +1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 278 PA 0.59 Fly-ball rateHard-hit rateBarrel rate Chase rate +1.8zSwing length +1.7zWalk rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.