The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 257 qualified hitters (334+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Bregman, Alex in signal, the comp in amber.
CHC · bats R · 708 PA
Ranked comps for Bregman, Alex
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Pasquantino, Vinnie KC · L · 486 PA | 0.76 | Walk rateStrikeout rateOppo rate | Chase rate +1.1zGround-ball rate -0.9zIsolated power -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Tucker, Kyle LAD · L · 637 PA | 0.74 | Barrel rateChase rateAvg exit velocity | Fly-ball rate +1.3zIsolated power -1.0zIn-zone contact -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Ramírez, José CLE · L · 554 PA | 0.71 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Sprint speed +1.3zIsolated power -1.1zMax exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 343 PA | 0.69 | In-zone contactPull rateSwing length | xwOBA on contact +1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zIsolated power +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 503 PA | 0.66 | Ground-ball ratePull rateBat speed | Max exit velocity +1.2zHard-hit rate +0.9zAvg exit velocity +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L · 411 PA | 0.65 | Pull rateBarrel rateGround-ball rate | Strikeout rate +1.7zIn-zone contact -1.2zWhiff rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Lee, Brooks MIN · L · 647 PA | 0.64 | In-zone contactSwing lengthBat speed | Chase rate +2.0zWalk rate -1.7zBarrel rate -0.7z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L · 465 PA | 0.64 | Max exit velocityFly-ball rateBarrel rate | Chase rate +1.3zStrikeout rate +1.1zWhiff rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Betts, Mookie LAD · R · 542 PA | 0.64 | Swing lengthHard-hit rateMax exit velocity | Sweet-spot rate +1.7zPull rate -1.4zFly-ball rate +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Rutschman, Adley BAL · L · 422 PA | 0.64 | Swing lengthIn-zone contactWhiff rate | Sweet-spot rate +1.6zPull rate -1.4zMax exit velocity +1.4z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Springer, George TOR · R · 534 PA | 0.63 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocityxwOBA on contact | Max exit velocity +1.2zWhiff rate +1.2zSwing length +1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Horwitz, Spencer PIT · L · 462 PA | 0.61 | In-zone contactFly-ball rateMax exit velocity | Isolated power -1.7zOppo rate +1.5zSprint speed -1.1z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.